Josh Allen and his Buffalo Bills teammates face the Denver Broncos in the AFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET Saturday. Let’s examine Allen’s prop bets available for this contest, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Josh Allen to go over 213.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Date: January 17, 2026
- Passing yards prop: Over 213.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 37.5 (-110)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has passed for 3,668 yards (229.3 per game), completing 69.3% of his throws, with 25 TDs and 10 INTs.
- Allen is throwing for 229.3 yards per game, which is more than his prop bet over/under for this matchup of 213.5.
- In eight of 16 matchups this year, Allen has topped 213.5 passing yards.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 225.4, which he has surpassed by 3.9 yards per game.
- This year, Allen has exceeded his passing yards prop total in eight of 16 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 12 of 16 games this season — including multiple TDs nine times.
- Allen has also rushed 112 times for 579 yards and 14 TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 62 | 0 |
| 2 | Colts | 306 | 1 |
| 3 | Chargers | 270 | 1 |
| 4 | Bengals | 106 | 0 |
| 5 | Eagles | 257 | 2 |
| 6 | Jets | -10 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 268 | 3 |
| 8 | Cowboys | 231 | 1 |
| 9 | Texans | 191 | 0 |
| 10 | Raiders | 114 | 0 |
| 11 | Chiefs | 249 | 1 |
| 13 | Commanders | 276 | 2 |
| 14 | Raiders | 189 | 2 |
| 15 | Packers | 247 | 1 |
| 16 | Jaguars | 265 | 3 |
| 17 | Chiefs | 57 | 1 |
| 18 | Chargers | 104 | 0 |
Bills Away Splits
- The Bills score 25 points per game away from home (3.3 fewer than overall) and allow 19.3 in road games (2.2 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Bills pick up fewer yards (348.3 per game) than they do overall (376.3). But they also concede fewer in road games (289.6) than overall (293.1).
- The Bills accumulate fewer passing yards in road games (171.5 per game) than they do overall (216.6), but they also give up fewer away from home (140.5 per game) than overall (156.9).
- On the road the Bills pick up more rushing yards (176.8 per game) than overall (159.6). But they also give up more rushing yards (149.1) than overall (136.2).
- The Bills successfully convert fewer third downs on the road (40.8%) than they do overall (44.8%), but also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs in road games (34.1%) than overall (41.4%).
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