The Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen will hit the field against the Denver Broncos at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday for the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. With prop bets available for Allen in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends that will help determine the best bets for this game.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Josh Allen to go over 237.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: January 12, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 237.5 (-110)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 44.5 (-115)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 3,731 yards (233.2 per game), completing 63.6% of his passes, with 28 TDs and six INTs.
- Compared to his 237.5-yard over/under for this matchup, Allen is passing for fewer yards per game — 233.2 — this season.
- In seven games this year, Allen has thrown for over 237.5 yards.
- His 233.2 passing yards per game are 1.1 higher than his average prop bet of 232.1 yards.
- This year, Allen has topped his passing yards prop total in eight of 16 opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 14 of 16 games (including multiple TDs 10 times).
- In addition Allen has contributed 531 rushing yards on 102 attempts (and 12 TDs), averaging 33.2 yards per game on the ground.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | 158 | 1 |
| 2 | Steelers | 110 | 1 |
| 3 | Buccaneers | 132 | 1 |
| 4 | Jets | 184 | 0 |
| 5 | Raiders | 215 | 1 |
| 6 | Chargers | 222 | 1 |
| 7 | Saints | 174 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 215 | 2 |
| 9 | Ravens | 269 | 3 |
| 10 | Chiefs | 243 | 1 |
| 11 | Falcons | 176 | 0 |
| 12 | Raiders | 300 | 1 |
| 13 | Browns | 475 | 4 |
| 15 | Colts | 161 | 0 |
| 16 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
| 17 | Bengals | 384 | 3 |
| 18 | Chiefs | 71 | 0 |
Bills Home Splits
- The Bills’ average points scored in home games (34.3) is higher than their overall average (30.9). But their average points conceded at home (17.6) is lower than overall (21.6).
- The Bills rack up 358 yards per game at home (1.1 less than their overall average), and concede 291.1 at home (50.4 less than overall).
- The Bills rack up 231.4 passing yards per game at home (3.5 more than their overall average), and concede 175.8 at home (50.3 less than overall).
- The Bills rack up 126.6 rushing yards per game at home (4.6 less than their overall average), and give up 115.4 at home (0.1 less than overall).
- The Bills convert 47.8% of third downs in home games (3.7% higher than their overall average), and give up 41.8% at home (two% lower than overall).
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