Week 1 of the NFL season features Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills matching up against the Baltimore Ravens at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Allen’s matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Josh Allen to go over 230.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: September 7, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 230.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 33.5 (-115)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Last year Allen racked up 3,731 yards passing (233.2 per game), going 307-for-483 (63.6%) with 28 TDs and six INTs.
- Sunday’s passing yards over/under for Allen is 230.5. That’s 2.7 yards fewer than his average of 233.2 last season.
- Across 16 games played last year, Allen went over 230.5 passing yards nine times.
- The average rushing yards over/under for he last year (32.6) was just a bit below his season rushing average (33.2).
- Allen exceeded his passing yards total in 50.0% of his opportunities last year (eight of 16 contests).
- He threw a touchdown pass in 14 of 16 games last season. And 10 of those games included multiple TD throws.
- Allen also ran for 531 yards on 102 attempts with 12 touchdowns, accumulating 33.2 yards per game.
Last Season Performances vs. the Ravens
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | 281 | 1 |
| 2 | Raiders | 233 | 1 |
| 3 | Cowboys | 361 | 2 |
| 4 | Bills | 155 | 0 |
| 5 | Bengals | 371 | 5 |
| 6 | Commanders | 253 | 2 |
| 7 | Buccaneers | 356 | 3 |
| 8 | Browns | 321 | 3 |
| 9 | Broncos | 197 | 1 |
| 10 | Bengals | 421 | 4 |
| 11 | Steelers | 181 | 0 |
| 12 | Chargers | 202 | 0 |
| 13 | Eagles | 112 | 1 |
| 15 | Giants | 181 | 1 |
| 16 | Steelers | 198 | 2 |
| 17 | Texans | 153 | 0 |
| 18 | Browns | 174 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Steelers | 251 | 2 |
| Playoffs | Bills | 126 | 0 |
Bills Home Splits (Last Season)
- The Bills’ average points scored at home (34.3) was higher than their overall average (30.9). But their average points conceded at home (17.6) was lower than overall (21.6).
- At home, the Bills accumulate 358 yards per game and gave up 291.1. That’s less than they gained (359.1) and allowed (341.5) overall.
- The Bills’ average yards passing at home (231.4) was higher than their overall average (227.9). And their average yards conceded at home (175.8) was lower than overall (226.1).
- The Bills racked up 126.6 rushing yards per game at home (4.6 less than their overall average), and gave up 115.4 at home (0.1 less than overall).
- The Bills’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (47.8%) was higher than their overall average (44.1%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (41.8%) was lower than overall (43.8%).
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