Highmark Stadium features Week 11 action as the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this article we dig into all of Allen’s prop bets available for this contest, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Josh Allen to go over 213.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 213.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 33.5 (-109)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 2,139 yards (237.7 per game), completing 70.3% of his passes, with 15 TDs and five INTs.
- Compared to his 213.5-yard over/under for this matchup, Allen is passing for more yards per game — 237.7 — this season.
- In nine games this season, Allen has exceeded 213.5 passing yards on four occasions.
- His average passing yards prop this season is 230.7, which he has surpassed by 7.0 yards per game.
- This year, Allen has topped his passing yards prop total in four games (44.4%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of nine games (including multiple TDs six times).
- In addition Allen has 311 yards rushing on 59 attempts with seven TDs, averaging 34.6 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Buccaneers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 289 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 182 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 168 | 2 |
| 4 | Eagles | 112 | 2 |
| 5 | Seahawks | 341 | 4 |
| 6 | 49ers | 296 | 0 |
| 7 | Lions | 215 | 1 |
| 8 | Saints | 227 | 0 |
| 10 | Patriots | 269 | 2 |
Bills Home Splits
- The Bills put up 30.2 points per game at home (2.6 more than their overall average), and concede 24.8 at home (2.9 more than overall).
- The Bills rack up 396 yards per game at home (11.6 more than their overall average), and give up 329.8 at home (12 more than overall).
- In home games, the Bills accumulate 258.2 passing yards per game and concede 188.4. That’s more than they gain (231.2) and allow (170.2) overall.
- The Bills’ average rushing yards gained (137.8) and conceded (141.4) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 153.2 and 147.6, respectively.
- The Bills’ offensive third-down percentage (49.1%) and defensive third-down percentage (44.3%) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 43.9% and 37.5%, respectively.
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