NFL play for Week 15 includes the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen taking on the New England Patriots at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s examine Allen’s prop bets available for this contest, and dig into his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Josh Allen to go over 225.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 225.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 36.5 (-114)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 3,083 yards (237.2 per game), completing 70.1% of his passes, with 22 TDs and 10 INTs.
- Sunday’s over/under for Allen is 225.5 passing yards. That’s 11.7 fewer yards than his 237.2 average for the year.
- In seven games this season, Allen has thrown for over 225.5 yards.
- His 237.2 passing yards per game are 8.4 higher than his average prop bet of 228.8 yards.
- This season, Allen has gone over his passing yards prop total in seven of 13 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 11 of 13 games this season — including multiple TDs eight times.
- Allen has figured on the ground too, with 487 yards (37.5 per game) on 87 carries and 12 TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raiders | 333 | 1 |
| 2 | Dolphins | 297 | 2 |
| 3 | Steelers | 139 | 2 |
| 4 | Panthers | 197 | 2 |
| 5 | Bills | 245 | 2 |
| 6 | Saints | 223 | 0 |
| 7 | Titans | 216 | 1 |
| 8 | Browns | 145 | 2 |
| 9 | Falcons | 217 | 3 |
| 10 | Buccaneers | 258 | 3 |
| 11 | Jets | 105 | 1 |
| 12 | Bengals | 187 | 1 |
| 13 | Giants | 128 | 1 |
Bills Away Splits
- On the road, the Bills score fewer points (23.7 per game) than they do overall (28.9). But they also concede fewer in road games (17.2) than overall (22.5).
- On the road, the Bills pick up fewer yards (363 per game) than they do overall (383.7). But they also allow fewer in away games (273) than overall (307.1).
- On the road, the Bills pick up fewer passing yards (182.7 per game) than they do overall (225.9). But they also give up fewer passing yards on the road (141.8) than overall (171.8).
- The Bills accumulate more rushing yards away from home (180.3 per game) than they do overall (157.8), and concede fewer in road games (131.2 per game) than overall (135.2).
- The Bills convert 39.5% of third downs on the road (5.5% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 26.6% of third downs in road games (14.6% less than overall).
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