Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills face the AFC’s New York Jets in a Week 17 NFL matchup at 1:00 PM ET Sunday. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Allen in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Josh Allen to go over 216.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: December 29, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 216.5 (-110)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 31.5 (-115)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 3,549 yards (236.6 per game), completing 63.8% of his throws, with 26 TDs and six INTs.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Allen is 216.5 passing yards. That’s 20.1 fewer yards than his 236.6 average for the season.
- In nine of 15 matchups this season, Allen has topped 216.5 passing yards.
- His 236.6 passing yards per game are 3.4 higher than his average prop bet of 233.2 yards.
- This season, Allen has gone over his passing yards total eight times (53.3%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 13 of 15 games (including multiple TDs nine times).
- Allen has figured on the ground too, with 514 yards (34.3 per game) on 97 carries and 11 TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Jets
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49ers | 221 | 0 |
| 2 | Titans | 170 | 1 |
| 3 | Patriots | 61 | 0 |
| 4 | Broncos | 60 | 1 |
| 5 | Vikings | 171 | 0 |
| 6 | Bills | 210 | 2 |
| 7 | Steelers | 260 | 2 |
| 8 | Patriots | 136 | 0 |
| 9 | Texans | 135 | 0 |
| 10 | Cardinals | 259 | 1 |
| 11 | Colts | 241 | 1 |
| 13 | Seahawks | 175 | 1 |
| 14 | Dolphins | 331 | 2 |
| 15 | Jaguars | 285 | 2 |
| 16 | Rams | 110 | 1 |
Bills Home Splits
- The Bills’ average points scored in home games (33.4) is higher than their overall average (31.3). But their average points allowed at home (18.1) is lower than overall (22.1).
- The Bills accumulate 359.4 yards per game at home (7.1 less than their overall average), and give up 292.6 at home (55.1 less than overall).
- The Bills’ average passing yards gained (228.6) and conceded (176.7) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 233 and 229.5, respectively.
- The Bills’ average rushing yards gained (130.9) and allowed (115.9) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 133.5 and 118.3, respectively.
- At home, the Bills convert 46.2% of third downs and allow 41.5% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (43.4%), and less than they allow (44.4%).
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