Week 4 action in the NFL features Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills matching up against the New Orleans Saints at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Here is analysis of Allen’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this outing to help you make your best bets.

Josh Allen Prop Lines

• Matchup: Buffalo Bills vs. New Orleans Saints
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: September 28, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 219.5 (-113)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 26.5 (-109)

Josh Allen Stats and Trends

• Allen has passed for 755 yards (251.7 per game), completing 69.7% of his passes, with five TDs and zero INTs.
• Allen is throwing for 251.7 yards per game, which is higher than his prop bet total for this contest of 219.5.
• In three games this season, Allen has thrown for over 219.5 yards once.
• His average passing yards prop this season is 231.8, which he has surpassed by 19.9 yards per game.
• This year, Allen has finished above his passing yards prop total once.
• He has thrown for a touchdown in two of three games this season. He had multiple TD passes both times.
• In addition Allen has contributed 114 rushing yards on 24 attempts (and two TDs), averaging 38.0 yards per game on the ground.

Recent Performances vs. the Saints

Bills Home Splits

• The Bills put up 36.0 points per game at home (2.0 more than their overall average), and concede 30.5 at home (6.8 more than overall).
• The Bills’ average yards gained (428.5) and allowed (354.0) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 420.0 and 287.3, respectively.
• The Bills’ average passing yards gained (296.0) and allowed (170.0) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 257.0 and 131.3, respectively.
• At home, the Bills rack up 132.5 rushing yards per game and give up 184.0. That’s less than they gain overall (163.0), and more than they allow (156.0).
• The Bills convert 50.0% of third downs at home (5.0% higher than their overall average), and give up 61.5% at home (18.3% higher than overall).