The Green Bay Packers, led by Josh Jacobs, will hit the field against the Washington Commanders at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday for a Week 2 NFL contest. In this piece, we’ll dig into Jacobs’ stats and trends to help you pick out the top bets among his props for this outing.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Josh Jacobs to go over 77.5 yards
Josh Jacobs Prop Lines
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: September 11, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 77.5 (-111)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 13.5 (-115)
Josh Jacobs Stats and Trends
- Jacobs ran for 1,329 yards on 301 attempts (78.2 yards per game) and scored 15 TDs a year ago. He also averaged 20.1 receiving yards per game, grabbing 36 passes for 342 yards and one touchdown.
- Jacobs’ 78.2 rushing yards per game last season are 0.7 more than Thursday’s over/under.
- Jacobs went over his rushing yards prop total this week (77.5) in six of 17 games last year.
- His average of 20.1 receiving yards per game was 5.8 more yards than his average prop bet over/under (14.3) last season.
- Jacobs went over his rushing yards total in 52.9% of his opportunities (nine of 17 games) last season.
- He had at least one rushing touchdown in 10 games last season, and multiple rushing TDs three times.
Last Season Performances vs. the Commanders
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 112 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 129 | 1 |
| 3 | Bengals | 124 | 1 |
| 4 | Cardinals | 181 | 1 |
| 5 | Browns | 104 | 0 |
| 6 | Ravens | 176 | 2 |
| 7 | Panthers | 95 | 1 |
| 8 | Bears | 202 | 2 |
| 9 | Giants | 164 | 1 |
| 10 | Steelers | 140 | 1 |
| 11 | Eagles | 228 | 3 |
| 12 | Cowboys | 91 | 0 |
| 13 | Titans | 35 | 0 |
| 15 | Saints | 69 | 0 |
| 16 | Eagles | 211 | 2 |
| 17 | Falcons | 126 | 2 |
| 18 | Cowboys | 150 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Buccaneers | 101 | 0 |
| Playoffs | Lions | 201 | 3 |
| Playoffs | Eagles | 229 | 7 |
Packers Home Splits (Last Season)
- In home games, the Packers put up 26.8 points per game and gave up 16.8. That’s less than they scored (27.1) and allowed (19.9) overall.
- At home, the Packers accumulated 384.1 yards per game and gave up 278.8. That’s more than they gained overall (370.8), but less than they allowed (314.5).
- The Packers’ average yards passing at home (228.6) was higher than their overall average (223.9). And their average yards conceded at home (184.6) was lower than overall (215.2).
- The Packers’ average yards rushing at home (155.6) was higher than their overall average (146.8). And their average yards allowed at home (94.2) was lower than overall (99.4).
- The Packers converted 43.6% of third downs at home (4.1% higher than their overall average), and conceded 34.6% at home (2.9% lower than overall).
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