Justin Herbert and his Los Angeles Chargers teammates hit the field against the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 4:30 PM ET Saturday. Let’s break down Herbert’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this outing to help you make good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Justin Herbert to go over 231.5 yards
Justin Herbert Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Date: January 11, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 231.5 (-110)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 20.5 (-115)
Justin Herbert Stats and Trends
- Herbert has thrown for 3,870 yards (227.6 per game), completing 65.9% of his throws, with 23 TDs and three INTs.
- Herbert passes for 227.6 yards per game. That’s 3.9 fewer yards than his over/under on Saturday.
- In 17 games this year, Herbert has gone over 231.5 passing yards on eight occasions.
- His 227.6 passing yards per game average is 6.7 greater than his average prop bet total of 220.9.
- This year, Herbert has hit the over on his passing yards prop total in eight of 17 opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 14 of 17 games (including multiple TDs eight times).
- Herbert has also contributed via the running game, with 306 yards (18 per game) on 69 attempts and two TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 199 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 134 | 0 |
| 3 | Vikings | 156 | 4 |
| 4 | Jaguars | 155 | 2 |
| 5 | Bills | 126 | 1 |
| 6 | Patriots | 209 | 3 |
| 7 | Packers | 195 | 3 |
| 8 | Colts | 140 | 1 |
| 9 | Jets | 193 | 3 |
| 10 | Lions | 240 | 2 |
| 11 | Cowboys | 324 | 1 |
| 12 | Titans | 237 | 2 |
| 13 | Jaguars | 276 | 2 |
| 15 | Dolphins | 172 | 1 |
| 16 | Chiefs | 251 | 1 |
| 17 | Ravens | 181 | 2 |
| 18 | Titans | 229 | 1 |
Chargers Away Splits
- The Chargers score fewer points away from home (23.2 per game) than they do overall (23.6), but also concede fewer in road games (13.9 per game) than overall (17.7).
- On the road, the Chargers accumulate more yards (330.9 per game) than they do overall (324.2). They also allow fewer yards on the road (281.3) than they do overall (324.4).
- On the road, the Chargers pick up more passing yards (220.1 per game) than they do overall (213.5). They also allow fewer passing yards on the road (179) than they do overall (206.9).
- On the road, the Chargers accumulate more rushing yards (110.8 per game) than they do overall (110.7). They also give up fewer rushing yards in road games (102.3) than they do overall (117.5).
- On the road, the Chargers convert more third downs (46.9%) than they do overall (40.3%). They also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs on the road (31.2%) than overall (35.7%).
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