Week 17 action in the NFL features Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers matching up against the Houston Texans at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. Here is a breakdown of Herbert’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this contest to help you make your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Justin Herbert to go over 212.5 yards
Justin Herbert Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Date: December 27, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 212.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 24.5 (-116)
Justin Herbert Stats and Trends
- Herbert has passed for 3,491 yards (232.7 per game), completing 66.5% of his throws, with 25 TDs and 12 INTs.
- Saturday’s over/under for Herbert is 212.5 passing yards. That’s 20.2 fewer yards than his 232.7 average for the year.
- In 15 games this season, Herbert has exceeded 212.5 passing yards nine times.
- His passing yards average of 232.7 yards this year is less than his average prop bet total (244.8) by 12.1 passing yards.
- This season, Herbert has bettered his passing yards prop total in seven games (46.7%).
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 14 of 15 games this year — including multiple TDs eight times.
- Herbert has contributed on the ground too, with 461 yards (30.7 per game) on 77 carries and two TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Texans
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rams | 224 | 1 |
| 2 | Buccaneers | 191 | 2 |
| 3 | Jaguars | 205 | 0 |
| 4 | Titans | 93 | 0 |
| 5 | Ravens | 163 | 0 |
| 7 | Seahawks | 198 | 1 |
| 8 | 49ers | 175 | 2 |
| 9 | Broncos | 171 | 2 |
| 10 | Jaguars | 119 | 1 |
| 11 | Titans | 171 | 1 |
| 12 | Bills | 183 | 0 |
| 13 | Colts | 195 | 2 |
| 14 | Chiefs | 148 | 0 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 235 | 3 |
| 16 | Raiders | 170 | 2 |
Chargers Home Splits
- In home games, the Chargers score 24.9 points per game and concede 19.9. That’s more than they score overall (23.3), but less than they give up (20.1).
- The Chargers’ average yards gained (362.5) and allowed (288.5) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 345.5 and 283.1, respectively.
- The Chargers rack up 226.5 passing yards per game at home (6.3 more than their overall average), and give up 192.1 at home (12.8 more than overall).
- At home, the Chargers accumulate 136 rushing yards per game and give up 96.4. That’s more than they gain overall (125.3), and less than they allow (103.8).
- At home, the Chargers convert 51.6% of third downs and allow 28.4% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (47.2%), and less than they allow (35.8%).
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