Week 7 NFL action pits Justin Herbert and his Los Angeles Chargers teammates versus the Indianapolis Colts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Herbert in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Justin Herbert to go over 256.5 yards
Justin Herbert Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Date: October 19, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 256.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 16.5 (-110)
Justin Herbert Stats and Trends
- Herbert has passed for 1,493 yards (248.8 per game), completing 67.6% of his throws, with 10 TDs and four INTs.
- Compared to his 256.5-yard prop bet total for this contest, Herbert is throwing for fewer yards per game — 248.8 — this season.
- In six games this year, Herbert has exceeded 256.5 passing yards on three occasions.
- His 248.8 passing yards per game are 2.4 below his average prop bet total of 251.2 yards.
- This season, Herbert has finished above his passing yards prop total in three of six opportunities.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all six games this season, with more than one TD pass three times.
- In addition Herbert has 155 yards rushing on 24 attempts, averaging 25.8 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Colts
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolphins | 133 | 1 |
| 2 | Broncos | 206 | 3 |
| 3 | Titans | 196 | 1 |
| 4 | Rams | 360 | 3 |
| 5 | Raiders | 190 | 0 |
| 6 | Cardinals | 312 | 2 |
Chargers Home Splits
- At home, the Chargers score 20 points per game and concede 22.7. That’s less than they score overall (21.2), but more than they allow (20.8).
- The Chargers accumulate 368.7 yards per game at home (eight more than their overall average), and give up 333.7 at home (32 more than overall).
- At home, the Chargers rack up 251.7 passing yards per game and concede 207.3. That’s more than they gain (240) and allow (177.5) overall.
- At home, the Chargers rack up 117 rushing yards per game and concede 126.3. That’s less than they gain overall (120.7), and more than they allow (124.2).
- The Chargers’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (52.2%) is higher than their overall average (45.2%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (26.5%) is lower than overall (38.5%).
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