Justin Jefferson will take the field with the Minnesota Vikings when they take on the Washington Commanders at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Jefferson in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Justin Jefferson to go over 63.5 yards
Justin Jefferson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. Washington Commanders
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 63.5 (-112)
Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends
- Jefferson’s 62 catches have turned into a team-best 799 yards (66.6 per game) and two TDs this year. He has been targeted on 105 occasions.
- Jefferson averages 66.6 receiving yards, 3.1 more than his prop bet for Sunday.
- Jefferson has put up over 63.5 receiving yards in 50.0% of his games this season (six of 12).
- He has collected 7.7 less receiving yards per game (66.6) than his average over/under (74.3).
- In three of 12 games this season, Jefferson has gone over on his prop for receiving yards.
- He has had a touchdown catch in two of 12 games this season, but had only one TD in each of those games.
Recent Performances vs. the Commanders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giants | 157 | 0 |
| 2 | Packers | 269 | 2 |
| 3 | Raiders | 261 | 3 |
| 4 | Falcons | 307 | 2 |
| 5 | Chargers | 181 | 1 |
| 6 | Bears | 236 | 1 |
| 7 | Cowboys | 257 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiefs | 284 | 3 |
| 9 | Seahawks | 330 | 4 |
| 10 | Lions | 320 | 3 |
| 11 | Dolphins | 142 | 0 |
| 13 | Broncos | 315 | 1 |
Vikings Home Splits
- The Vikings’ average points scored at home (22.4) is higher than their overall average (18.7). But their average points allowed at home (21.2) is lower than overall (23.4).
- The Vikings’ average yards gained at home (313.4) is higher than their overall average (272.6). But their average yards allowed at home (299.8) is lower than overall (306.8).
- The Vikings’ average yards passing at home (199.2) is higher than their overall average (173.2). And their average yards allowed at home (178.2) is lower than overall (178.4).
- At home, the Vikings rack up 114.2 rushing yards per game and give up 121.6. That’s more than they gain overall (99.4), and less than they allow (128.4).
- The Vikings’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (33.3%) is higher than their overall average (30%). Their defensive third-down percentage at home (36.2%) is lower than overall (37.6%).
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