NFL play for Week 17 includes the Minnesota Vikings and Justin Jefferson facing off against the Green Bay Packers at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday. Here is analysis of Jefferson’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this outing to help you pick out your best bets.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.67
Justin Jefferson to go over 89.5 yards
Justin Jefferson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Date: December 29, 2024
- Receiving yards prop: Over 89.5 (-120)
Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends
- Jefferson has 92 receptions (while being targeted 134 times) for a team-best 1,387 yards and 10 TDs, averaging 92.5 yards per game.
- Jefferson averages 92.5 receiving yards, 3.0 more than his over/under for Sunday.
- Jefferson has collected more than 89.5 receiving yards in seven of 15 games this year.
- His season average of 92.5 receiving yards is 9.3 more than his average prop total (83.2).
- Jefferson has gone over on his prop for receiving yards in 10 of 15 games this year.
- He has caught a TD pass in eight games this season, out of 15, with more than one score on two of those occasions.
Recent Performances vs. the Packers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eagles | 266 | 2 |
| 2 | Colts | 198 | 1 |
| 3 | Titans | 204 | 2 |
| 4 | Vikings | 254 | 3 |
| 5 | Rams | 236 | 1 |
| 6 | Cardinals | 214 | 1 |
| 7 | Texans | 55 | 0 |
| 8 | Jaguars | 299 | 2 |
| 9 | Lions | 137 | 1 |
| 11 | Bears | 212 | 0 |
| 12 | 49ers | 197 | 1 |
| 13 | Dolphins | 336 | 2 |
| 14 | Lions | 280 | 3 |
| 15 | Seahawks | 128 | 0 |
| 16 | Saints | 129 | 0 |
Vikings Home Splits
- The Vikings score 28.1 points per game in home games (1.7 more than their overall average), and give up 17.5 at home (0.9 less than overall).
- At home, the Vikings rack up 345.4 yards per game and concede 343.8. That’s less than they gain overall (346.3), but more than they allow (335.8).
- In home games, the Vikings accumulate 231 passing yards per game and concede 242.1. That’s less than they gain (235.3) and allow (248.7) overall.
- The Vikings’ average rushing yards gained (114.4) and conceded (101.6) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 111.1 and 87.1, respectively.
- At home, the Vikings convert 45.7% of third downs and allow 31% to be converted. That’s more than they convert overall (40.6%), and less than they allow (33.7%).
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