Justin Jefferson and his Minnesota Vikings teamates will face the Green Bay Packers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 18 of the 2025 NFL campaign. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Jefferson in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.

Justin Jefferson Prop Lines

• Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: January 4, 2026
• Receiving yards prop: Over 69.5 (-111)

Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends

• Jefferson has a team-best 947 receiving yards on 76 grabs (on 130 targets) with two TDs this year, averaging 59.2 yards per game.
• Jefferson’s 59.2 receiving yards average is 10.3 less than his over/under on Sunday.
• Jefferson has put up over 69.5 receiving yards in 43.8% of his games this year (seven out of 16).
• He has collected 12.4 fewer receiving yards per game (59.2) than his average over/under (71.6).
• Jefferson has gone over on his prop for receiving yards in four of 16 games this year.
• He has had a touchdown catch in two of 16 games this year, but had only one TD in each of those games.

Recent Performances vs. the Packers

Vikings Home Splits

• The Vikings score 23.7 points per game in home games (3.2 more than their overall average), and concede 16.6 at home (four less than overall).
• The Vikings’ average yards gained at home (291.6) is higher than their overall average (269.5). But their average yards allowed at home (276.6) is lower than overall (292.7).
• The Vikings rack up 164.3 passing yards per game in home games (1.3 more than their overall average), and give up 164.7 at home (4.1 less than overall).
• At home, the Vikings accumulate 127.3 rushing yards per game and give up 111.9. That’s more than they gain overall (106.5), and less than they allow (123.9).
• The Vikings’ offensive third-down percentage (34.5%) and defensive third-down percentage (35.5%) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 32.4% and 35.1%, respectively.