The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to play well in 2025, as their over/under comes in at 11.5 wins.
Here’s everything you need to place your NFL futures bets on this upcoming season.
Win Total Futures
Bet $20, Payout $43.60
Kansas City Chiefs to win Over 11.5 games
Chiefs Projected Wins This Season
- The expected win total for Kansas City in 2025, based on our comparative team-strength analysis, is 12.
- Kansas City will see 13 opponents on its schedule this season who won fewer games than the Chiefs did last year.
- Kansas City’s +800 Super Bowl odds are better than 14 of the teams it will play this year.
- Kansas City has a 45.9% chance of eclipsing its season win total over/under (11.5) based on the current odds (+118).
- Kansas City’s implied probability is 11.1% to win the Super Bowl according to its +800 odds.
Chiefs Strength of Schedule
- The Chiefs will face the 11th-ranked schedule this season (based on their opponents’ combined win total last year).
- The Chiefs will have to manage the fifth-hardest schedule in the league, based on our predictions.
- Kansas City will have to deal with the hardest schedule in the NFL, based on the projected win total of its opponents this season (162).
- In terms of toughness, based on their AFC West opponents’ combined win total last season, the Chiefs will face the 14th-ranked divisional schedule this year.
- Kansas City have to overcome the fifth-toughest divisional schedule this season (based on the projected win total of its AFC West opponents this year).
- The Chiefs’ schedule has 10 games against teams with winning records in 2024, which includes five against teams with 12 or more victories and five against squads that accumulated five or fewer wins.
Chiefs Last Season Betting Stats
- The Chiefs won all 14 of the games they were the moneyline favorite last season.
- Kansas City put together a 7-9-1 ATS record last year.
- Last season, the Chiefs were the underdog three times and won one of those games.
- Kansas City will face 13 teams this season that won fewer games than the Chiefs did a season ago.
Chiefs Changes This Offseason
New Players
| Name | Position | 2024 GP | Former Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew II | QB | 10 | Raiders |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | RB | 2 | Saints |
| Mike Edwards | SAF | 6 | Buccaneers |
| Janarius Robinson | DE | 7 | Raiders |
| Zacch Pickens | DT | 7 | Bears |
| Kristian Fulton | CB | 13 | Chargers |
| Jerry Tillery | DL | 15 | Vikings |
Departing Players
| Name | Position | 2024 GP | New Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 16 | Ravens |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 17 | Bengals |
| Justin Watson | WR | 15 | Texans |
| Spencer Shrader | K | 4 | Colts |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | 12 | Packers |
| Cam Jones | LB | 6 | Jets |
| Joshua Uche | OLB | 8 | Eagles |
| Mike Pennel | DT | 12 | Bengals |
| Tershawn Wharton | DT | 12 | Panthers |
| Justin Reid | SAF | 16 | Saints |
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