Lamar Jackson will take the field with the Baltimore Ravens when they play the New England Patriots at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Jackson’s contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Lamar Jackson to go over 214.5 yards
Lamar Jackson Prop Lines
- Matchup: Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 214.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 33.5 (-112)
Lamar Jackson Stats and Trends
- Jackson has thrown for 2,210 yards (200.9 per game), completing 63.5% of his passes, with 18 TDs and six INTs.
- Jackson passes for 200.9 yards per game. That’s 13.6 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
- In four of 11 games this year, Jackson has exceeded 214.5 passing yards.
- His 200.9 passing yards per game are 22.8 below his average prop bet total of 223.7 yards.
- This season, Jackson has finished above his passing yards total three times (27.3%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of 11 games (including multiple TDs five times).
- Jackson also has run for 333 yards on 61 attempts with two touchdowns, picking up 30.3 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raiders | 333 | 1 |
| 2 | Dolphins | 297 | 2 |
| 3 | Steelers | 139 | 2 |
| 4 | Panthers | 197 | 2 |
| 5 | Bills | 245 | 2 |
| 6 | Saints | 223 | 0 |
| 7 | Titans | 216 | 1 |
| 8 | Browns | 145 | 2 |
| 9 | Falcons | 217 | 3 |
| 10 | Buccaneers | 258 | 3 |
| 11 | Jets | 105 | 1 |
| 12 | Bengals | 187 | 1 |
| 13 | Giants | 128 | 1 |
| 15 | Bills | 181 | 3 |
Ravens Home Splits
- At home, the Ravens score 21.6 points per game and concede 25.1. That’s less than they score overall (23.9), but more than they allow (22.9).
- The Ravens’ average yards gained at home (303.1) is lower than their overall average (324.6). But their average yards conceded at home (345) is higher than overall (344.4).
- The Ravens’ average yards passing at home (182.1) is higher than their overall average (178.4). And their average yards conceded at home (230.5) is lower than overall (233.3).
- The Ravens rack up 121 rushing yards per game at home (25.2 less than their overall average), and give up 114.5 at home (3.4 more than overall).
- The Ravens’ offensive third-down percentage in home games (36.1%) is lower than their overall average (37.3%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (44.1%) is higher than overall (36.2%).
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