The Liberty Flames (19-3, 11-0 CUSA) will look to continue a 13-game winning streak when they host the Missouri State Bears (13-9, 7-4 CUSA) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Liberty Arena as 9.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 2 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has an over/under of 139.5 points.
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Liberty Cover -9.5 vs Missouri State -107
Liberty vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Liberty moneyline odds to win: -505
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +379
- Spread: Liberty (-9.5)
- Total: 139.5
Liberty statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Liberty has covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as road games (62.5%). It has covered five times in eight games at home and five times in eight games on the road.
- When playing at home, the Flames exceed the total 62.5% of the time (five of eight games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of road games (four of eight contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, Liberty has an identical winning percentage when playing at home compared to on the road (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Flames’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 76.5 points a contest compared to the 79.3 they’ve averaged this season.
- Liberty’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (66.6) is 0.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.2).
- While the Flames are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.4 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (10.7), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (41.4% from deep over the last 10, 41.0% on the season).
Liberty betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 9-8-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-8-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-2 (Home: 7-0; Away: 6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 (second in nation) | 43.2 (139th) | 27.3 (350th) | 30.5 (149th) | 17.5 (29th) | 8.0 (third) |
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Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Missouri State is 6-4-0 at home against the spread (.600 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-5-0 ATS (.444).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, five of 10) compared to away (55.6%, five of nine).
Recent trends
- While the Bears are posting 75.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark over their previous 10 games, amassing 77.7 a contest.
- Missouri State has fared worse defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 75.4 points per contest, 3.1 more points than its season average of 72.3.
- The Bears are draining 8.3 threes per contest with a 35.5% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.4 and 31.6%.
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (183rd in nation) | 44.3 (197th) | 30.9 (262nd) | 30.7 (163rd) | 14.1 (176th) | 11.0 (164th) |
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