The Liberty Flames (13-3, 5-0 CUSA) host the New Mexico State Aggies (9-6, 2-3 CUSA) after winning four straight home games. The Flames are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 6 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 15, 2026. The matchup’s point total is set at 143.5.

Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!

Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting lines

• Liberty moneyline odds to win: -503
• New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +376
• Spread: Liberty (-9.5)
• Total: 143.5

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Liberty owns a better record against the spread in home games (4-1-0) than it does in road games (3-2-0).
• The Flames have gone over the total more often at home, hitting the over in three of five home matchups (60%). In away games, they have hit the over in two of five games (40%).
• In four home games as a moneyline favorite, Liberty has four wins (1.000). It owns an identical winning percentage (3-0 record) as a moneyline favorite on the road.

Recent trends

• In their last 10 games, the Flames have been scoring 77.0 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 80.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• Liberty’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 69.3 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 67.8 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
• Over their past 10 contests, the Flames are making 1.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.7 compared to 10.8 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (38.5% compared to 39.9% season-long).

Liberty betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 3-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-5-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
• O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 2-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 4-0; Away: 3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Liberty vs. New Mexico State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• New Mexico State’s winning percentage against the spread at home was .333 (4-8-0) last season. Away, it was .643 (9-5-0).
• Looking at the over/under, Aggies games finished over less often at home (two of 12, 16.7%) than away (five of 14, 35.7%) last year.
• The Aggies’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .500 last season, both at home (1-1) and on the road (6-6).

Recent trends

• Over their last 10 games, the Aggies are scoring 77.3 points per contest, 1.0 more than their season average (76.3).
• New Mexico State is surrendering 70.7 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 68.1 points allowed.
• The Aggies are sinking 8.2 treys per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 more than their average for the season (7.5). Likewise, they own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.9%).

New Mexico State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 6-6-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 0-3-0)
• O-U-P: 8-4-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 3-0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-2)