The Liberty Flames (20-3, 12-0 CUSA) visit the New Mexico State Aggies (11-12, 4-9 CUSA) after winning seven road games in a row. The Flames are favored by 3.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The over/under is set at 144 for the matchup.

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting lines

• Liberty moneyline odds to win: -178
• New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +145
• Spread: Liberty (-3.5)
• Total: 144

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Against the spread, Liberty has fared worse at home, covering five times in nine home games, and five times in eight road games.
• In terms of point totals, the Flames hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total six times in nine opportunities this season (66.7%). In road games, they have hit the over four times in eight opportunities (50%).
• Liberty, as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage when playing at home (8-0 record) and away from home (6-0 record).

Recent trends

• The Flames’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, scoring 76.3 points a contest compared to the 79.3 they’ve averaged this season.
• Liberty has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 66.9 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 67.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
• During their last 10 outings, the Flames are making 1.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.3 compared to 10.5 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (41.2% compared to 40.8% season-long).

Liberty betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 6-9-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
• O-U-P: 12-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 4-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 8-0; Away: 6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)

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New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• This year, New Mexico State is 4-4-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 3-5-0 ATS (.375).
• Aggies games have finished above the over/under 62.5% of the time at home (five of eight), and 75% of the time away (six of eight).
• The Aggies’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is 1.000 (1-0), and on the road it is .200 (1-4).

Recent trends

• Over their last 10 games, the Aggies are scoring 73.3 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than their season average (75.7).
• New Mexico State is surrendering 73.2 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 2.3 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.9).
• The Aggies are making 8.7 three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.7 more than their average for the season (8.0). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (36.1%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.3%).

New Mexico State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 3-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
• O-U-P: 13-7-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-7 (Home: 3-4; Away: 1-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-4)