Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting: College basketball preview for February 13

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (12-11, 5-5 CUSA) are just 3-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game home losing streak when they square off against the Liberty Flames (19-5, 7-4 CUSA) on Thursday, February 13, 2025 at Pan American Center. The game airs at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total is 132.5 in the matchup.

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Liberty Cover -3 vs New Mexico State -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting lines

  • Liberty moneyline odds to win: -157
  • New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: +132
  • Spread: Liberty (-3)
  • Total: 132.5

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • At home, Liberty sports a worse record against the spread (5-4-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (5-2-0).
  • At home, the Flames exceed the total 33.3% of the time (three of nine games). They hit the over more often in away games, going over the total in 42.9% of games (three of seven).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Liberty has taken seven of nine games at home, good for a .778 winning percentage. It has won three of five games away from home (.600) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Flames have been putting up 72.1 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 77.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Liberty’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (65.5) is 3.7 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (61.8).
  • During their last 10 contests, the Flames are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 10.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (37.3% compared to 38.0% season-long).

Liberty betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-7-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3+: 10-5-0 (As Favorite: 10-7-0; As Underdog: 4-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-12-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.1 (14th in nation) 39.9 (20th) 30.7 (271st) 31.0 (169th) 16.7 (27th) 9.4 (19th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Liberty vs. New Mexico State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • New Mexico State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .250 (2-6-0). Away, it is .600 (6-4-0).
  • Aggies games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (two times out of eight) than away (four of 10) this year.
  • The Aggies, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (3-5) this season.

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Aggies are putting up 66.5 points per game, 4.5 fewer points than their season average (71.0).
  • Over its previous 10 games, New Mexico State is ceding 65.4 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points than its season average (68.2).
  • The Aggies are draining 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game over their past 10 games (6.9) compared to their season average (7.7), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.9%) compared to their season mark (32.9%).

New Mexico State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 5-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-13-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-6 (Home: 3-4; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 3-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.2 (312th in nation) 40.4 (32nd) 35.1 (47th) 32.4 (257th) 12.3 (277th) 11.1 (163rd)
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