CUSA foes meet when the Liberty Flames (24-6, 16-3 CUSA) host the Sam Houston Bearkats (21-9, 13-6 CUSA) at Liberty Arena, tipping off at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The Bearkats are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 155.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Liberty Cover -4.5 vs Sam Houston -112
Liberty vs. Sam Houston betting lines
- Liberty moneyline odds to win: -201
- Sam Houston moneyline odds to win: +166
- Spread: Liberty (-4.5)
- Total: 155.5
Liberty statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Liberty has done a better job covering the spread in away games (6-6-0) than it has at home (5-7-0).
- The Flames have eclipsed the over/under in nine of 12 home games (75%), compared to six of 12 road games (50%).
- Liberty has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-2 (.818). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 9-1 (.900).
Recent trends
- The Flames’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, racking up 76.5 points a contest compared to the 78.4 they’ve averaged this year.
- Liberty has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 76.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.1 it has surrendered this year.
- The Flames’ past 10 outings have seen them make 10.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 39.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 10.6 makes and 40.3%.
Liberty betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-16-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-13-0 (As Favorite: 10-15-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 17-10-0 (Home: 9-3-0; Away: 6-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-5 (Home: 9-2; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.7 (third in nation) | 44.9 (228th) | 26.1 (360th) | 30.7 (161st) | 17.2 (24th) | 8.4 (fifth) |
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Sam Houston statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Sam Houston has a lower winning percentage at home (.636, 7-4-0 record) than on the road (.714, 10-4-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bearkats’ games have finished above the over/under at home (54.5%, six of 11) compared to on the road (64.3%, nine of 14).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Bearkats have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (5-6).
Recent trends
- The Bearkats are averaging 82.0 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 1.3 fewer points than their average for the season (83.3).
- While Sam Houston is surrendering 74.3 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 74.9 points per contest.
- In their past 10 games, the Bearkats are draining 7.6 threes per contest, 1.0 fewer threes than their season average (8.6). They have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (40.6%) compared to their season average (37.3%).
Sam Houston betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-8-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 10-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 10-5-0; As Underdog: 9-3-0)
- O-U-P: 17-10-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 10-0; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 5-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.0 (73rd in nation) | 42.1 (62nd) | 36.5 (23rd) | 30.0 (118th) | 15.7 (76th) | 11.4 (227th) |
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