Liberty vs. Western Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Liberty Flames (15-3, 7-0 CUSA) will attempt to continue a nine-game win streak when they visit the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-7, 4-3 CUSA) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at E. A. Diddle Arena as just 1.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 148.5.

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Liberty Cover -1.5 vs Western Kentucky -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

Liberty vs. Western Kentucky betting lines

  • Liberty moneyline odds to win: -119
  • Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -102
  • Spread: Liberty (-1.5)
  • Total: 148.5

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • At home, Liberty sports a worse record against the spread (4-3-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (3-2-0).
  • In terms of point totals, the Flames hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total five times in seven opportunities this season (71.4%). On the road, they have hit the over two times in five opportunities (40%).
  • Liberty, as a moneyline favorite, has an identical winning percentage when playing at home (6-0 record) and away from home (3-0 record).

Recent trends

  • The Flames have been putting up 76.7 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 80.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • Liberty’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 70.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 68.0 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Flames are making 1.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.6 compared to 10.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (36.8% compared to 39.9% season-long).

Liberty betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 3-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-2 (Home: 6-0; Away: 3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
52.6 (second in nation) 42.8 (130th) 27.8 (346th) 30.9 (174th) 17.5 (31st) 8.2 (first)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Liberty vs. Western Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This season, Western Kentucky is 4-4-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 2-3-0 ATS (.400).
  • Hilltoppers games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (five times out of eight) than on the road (two of five) this season.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Hilltoppers have won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-1) and away (0-2).

Recent trends

  • The Hilltoppers are putting up 76.3 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 4.1 fewer points than their average for the season (80.4).
  • Western Kentucky is allowing 73.7 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 2.1 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.8).
  • The Hilltoppers are making 9.4 threes per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.1 more than their average for the season (8.3). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.2%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.1%).

Western Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-7-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-8-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 2-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.7 (343rd in nation) 41.5 (62nd) 36.8 (32nd) 33.6 (308th) 13.1 (263rd) 9.9 (58th)
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