The Liberty Flames (2-4) square off against a fellow CUSA foe when they host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) on Tuesday, October 14, 2025 at Williams Stadium (VA).

The Aggies are expected to lose by double digits (currently +10) against the Flames (with an over/under of 46.5 points).

Below you can find our betting preview for this this matchup between the Flames and the Aggies, and find all of our expert picks here, too!

Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting lines

• Spread favorite: Flames (-10)
• Moneyline: Flames (-385), Aggies (+304)
• Total: 46.5 points
• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Live Stream: Fubo

Liberty vs. New Mexico State betting info and stats

Liberty, through six games with a spread this season, has gone 2-4-0 against the spread. Liberty is winless ATS (0-1) when favorites by at least 10 points. In the four games favored on the moneyline, Liberty has recorded a 2-2 record. New Mexico State, in five games with a set spread this season, is 2-3-0 against the spread. New Mexico State has not covered the spread in games it was an underdog by at least 10 points (0-2). New Mexico State’s record when playing as an underdog this year is 2-2.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State recent stats and trends

Liberty Flames

• Liberty is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall in its past three contests.
• Liberty and its opponents did not hit the over in any of those games.
• Liberty’s past three outings have ended with an average of 48.8 points scored. That’s 2.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.

New Mexico State Aggies

• New Mexico State is 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall during its last three matchups.
• New Mexico State and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in those games.
• The past three New Mexico State games averaged 3.0 more points (49.5) than this matchup’s point total.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State key players

Liberty Flames

• Ethan Vasko has thrown for 1,006 yards (201.2 ypg) to lead Liberty, completing 57.4% of his passes and recording six touchdown passes compared to three interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 173 rushing yards on 65 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
• The team’s top rusher, Evan Dickens, has carried the ball 65 times for 344 yards (68.8 per game), scoring two times.
• Caden Williams has racked up 246 yards on 55 carries.
• Donte Lee Jr.’s 289 yards as a receiver lead the team. He’s been targeted 21 times and has totaled 12 receptions and three touchdowns.
• Jamari Person has caught 16 passes for 187 yards (31.2 yards per game) this year.
• Julian Gray has compiled 13 grabs for 169 yards, an average of 28.2 yards per game. He’s scored one time as a receiver this season.
• CJ Bazile Jr. has 1.5 sacks to lead the team, and also has 1.0 TFL and 10 tackles.
• Joseph Carter, Liberty’s leading tackler, has 11 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year.
• Jiquavious Marshall has picked off a team-leading one pass. He also has one pass defended to his name.

New Mexico State Aggies

• Logan Fife leads New Mexico State with 1,270 yards on 98-of-172 passing with six touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season.
• The team’s top rusher, Kadarius Calloway, has carried the ball 47 times for 158 yards (31.6 per game) with two touchdowns.
• Dijon Stanley has racked up 62 yards (on 20 carries).
• Donovan Faupel’s 312 receiving yards (62.4 yards per game) are best on his team. He has 23 catches on 40 targets with one touchdown.
• Gavin Harris has 16 receptions (on 27 targets) for a total of 234 yards (46.8 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
• PJ Johnson III’s 14 grabs (on 25 targets) have netted him 215 yards (43.0 ypg) and three touchdowns.
• Tory Gethers has 2.0 sacks to pace the team, and also has 3.0 TFL and 19 tackles.
• Naeten Mitchell, New Mexico State’s tackle leader, has 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception this year.
• Bernock Iya leads the team with one interception, while also putting up 13 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one pass defended.