Little Rock vs. Western Illinois betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 17

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Little Rock Trojans (8-10, 5-2 OVC) are big, 10.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Western Illinois Leathernecks (4-14, 0-7 OVC) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Jack Stephens Center. The contest airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is set at 135.5.

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Little Rock Cover -10.5 vs Western Illinois -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Little Rock vs. Western Illinois betting lines

  • Little Rock moneyline odds to win: -649
  • Western Illinois moneyline odds to win: +466
  • Spread: Little Rock (-10.5)
  • Total: 135.5

Little Rock statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Little Rock has done a better job covering the spread at home (2-2-0) than it has in road games (5-7-0).
  • The Trojans have exceeded the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in three of four home matchups (75%). On the road, they have hit the over in six of 12 games (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Little Rock has an identical winning percentage at home compared to away from home (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Trojans’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 76.0 points per contest compared to the 70.9 they’ve averaged this year.
  • The last 10 games have seen Little Rock give up 0.9 fewer points per game (75.3) than its season-long average (76.2).
  • The Trojans’ 6.7 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are more than the 6.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of shots made, 34.9% compared to their season-long percentage of 35.8% from long distance.

Little Rock betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 3-1-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 3-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.9 (149th in nation) 47.0 (319th) 29.7 (311th) 31.6 (206th) 13.9 (207th) 13.9 (348th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Little Rock vs. Western Illinois? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Western Illinois statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Western Illinois’ winning percentage against the spread at home is .200 (1-4-0). Away, it is .600 (6-4-0).
  • Leathernecks games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (three times out of five) than away (three of 10) this year.
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Leathernecks have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-5) than away (1-9).

Recent trends

  • While the Leathernecks are scoring 65.2 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, amassing 62.8 points per contest.
  • Western Illinois is ceding 72.5 points per game over its last 10 games, which is 1.0 fewer point than it is allowing for the season (73.5).
  • The Leathernecks are sinking 1.2 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (3.8) compared to their season average (5.0), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (23.0%) compared to their season mark (29.3%).

Western Illinois betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-8-0 (Home: 1-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 7-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-9-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 3-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-14 (Home: 0-5; Away: 1-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.6 (341st in nation) 45.7 (289th) 31.2 (260th) 31.5 (203rd) 7.9 (365th) 11.4 (180th)
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