LIU vs. Mercyhurst betting: NEC Tournament preview for March 10

Data Skrive

The top-seeded Long Island Sharks (23-10, 15-3 NEC) are 5.5-point favorites to win the NEC Tournament Championship and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 3 seed Mercyhurst Lakers (17-16, 10-8 NEC) on Tuesday at Steinberg Wellness Center. The contest begins at 7 p.m. ET and airs on ESPN2. The over/under for the matchup is set at 136.5.

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LIU Cover -5.5 vs Mercyhurst -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

LIU vs. Mercyhurst betting lines

  • LIU moneyline odds to win: -244
  • Mercyhurst moneyline odds to win: +196
  • Spread: LIU (-5.5)
  • Total: 136.5

LIU statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • LIU has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in 14 opportunities at home, and it has covered eight times in 19 opportunities on the road.
  • The Sharks have gone over the over/under in five of 14 home games (35.7%). They’ve fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in eight of 19 matchups (42.1%).
  • LIU has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 13-0 (1.000). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 8-3 (.727).

Recent trends

  • The Sharks have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 72.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.2 points fewer than the 73.9 they’ve scored this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen LIU give up 5.4 fewer points per game (65.8) than its season-long average (71.2).
  • The Sharks are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 5.1 threes per game and shooting 34.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.0 makes and 35.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

LIU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-18-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 8-11-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 6-11-0 (As Favorite: 10-14-0; As Underdog: 5-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-20-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 8-11-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-3 (Home: 13-0; Away: 8-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.9 (42nd in nation) 44.4 (189th) 32.2 (162nd) 29.5 (89th) 13.6 (194th) 12.7 (327th)

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Mercyhurst statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Mercyhurst’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .692 (9-4-0). Away, it is .667 (12-6-0).
  • Lakers games have gone above the over/under 53.8% of the time at home (seven of 13), and 44.4% of the time away (eight of 18).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Lakers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than on the road (2-11).

Recent trends

  • The Lakers are putting up 75.1 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 5.8 more than their average for the season (69.3).
  • Mercyhurst is surrendering 71.1 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 4.1 more points than it is allowing for the season (67.0).
  • The Lakers are draining 6.1 three-pointers per contest with a 31.1% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6.0 and 32.3%.

Mercyhurst betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 21-10-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 12-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 6-2-0 (As Favorite: 11-6-0; As Underdog: 10-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-16-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 8-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 9-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.1 (192nd in nation) 43.7 (143rd) 29.5 (306th) 31.5 (217th) 13.7 (190th) 8.7 (seventh)
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