Louisville vs. NC State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 9

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 24 Louisville Cardinals (17-6, 7-4 ACC) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup with the NC State Wolfpack (18-6, 9-2 ACC), who have won six straight. The Cardinals are favorites (-7.5) in the contest, which tips at 7 p.m. ET (on ESPN) on Monday, February 9, 2026. The over/under is set at 161.5 for the matchup.

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Louisville Cover -7.5 vs NC State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Louisville vs. NC State betting lines

  • Louisville moneyline odds to win: -338
  • NC State moneyline odds to win: +262
  • Spread: Louisville (-7.5)
  • Total: 161.5

Louisville statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Louisville has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered eight times in 14 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered two times in seven opportunities in road games.
  • When it comes to over/unders, the Cardinals hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in 14 opportunities this season (35.7%). On the road, they have hit the over three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Louisville has won 11 of 12 games at home, good for a .917 winning percentage. It has won three of five games on the road (.600) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 78.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 7.4 points fewer than the 85.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • Louisville’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 73.7 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 70.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Cardinals are making 1.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.0 compared to 11.5 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.2% compared to 34.5% season-long).

Louisville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 9-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-8-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-14-0 (Home: 5-9-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 11-1; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (115th in nation) 40.4 (31st) 38.0 (11th) 31.0 (176th) 17.7 (23rd) 11.3 (201st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Louisville vs. NC State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

NC State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • NC State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .538 (7-6-0). Away, it is .571 (4-3-0).
  • Wolfpack games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (seven times out of 13) than on the road (six of seven) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Wolfpack have performed worse offensively over their previous 10 games, posting 83.8 points per contest, 1.9 fewer points their than season average of 85.7.
  • In its last 10 games, NC State is surrendering 74.4 points per contest, 1.9 more points than its season average (72.5).
  • The Wolfpack are draining 11.2 threes per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (11.0). Likewise, they own a better three-point percentage over their last 10 games (42.7%) compared to their season average from downtown (40.2%).

NC State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 4-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 7-6-0; Away: 6-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-5 (Home: 10-3; Away: 5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.1 (46th in nation) 42.9 (112th) 32.6 (164th) 32.1 (237th) 16.8 (43rd) 9.3 (28th)
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