The No. 21 Louisville Cardinals (19-6, 8-4 ACC) are 3.5-point favorites as they look to build on a five-game winning streak when they visit the SMU Mustangs (17-8, 6-6 ACC) on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at Moody Coliseum. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The matchup has an over/under of 167.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.54
Louisville Cover -3.5 vs SMU -114
Louisville vs. SMU betting lines
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: -196
- SMU moneyline odds to win: +159
- Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
- Total: 167.5
Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Louisville has fared better at home, covering nine times in 15 home games, and two times in seven road games.
- The Cardinals have hit the over on the over/under in six of 15 home games (40%). They’ve done better in road games, going over the total in three of seven matchups (42.9%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Louisville has won a higher percentage of its home games (.923) compared to away games (.600).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Cardinals have been putting up 83.4 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 86.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Louisville has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 72.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.9 it has conceded this season.
- The Cardinals’ 10.8 made three-pointers per-game average over their last 10 games are less than the 11.6 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 36.7% compared to their season-long percentage of 35.7% from beyond the arc.
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-11-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 14-7-0 (As Favorite: 14-8-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-15-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (60th in nation) | 40.3 (25th) | 37.7 (11th) | 30.7 (162nd) | 17.9 (19th) | 11.4 (219th) |
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SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, SMU has a lower winning percentage at home (.400, 6-9-0 record) than away (.500, 4-3-1).
- Mustangs games have finished above the over/under more often at home (eight times out of 15) than on the road (four of eight) this year.
- As moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (1-4).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Mustangs are averaging 80.4 points per contest, 5.8 fewer points than their season average (86.2).
- In its previous 10 games, SMU is allowing 78.8 points per contest, 1.2 more points than its season average (77.6).
- The Mustangs are draining 8.8 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.5 more than their average for the season (8.3). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (40.7%) compared to their season average from three-point land (37.8%).
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-13-1 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-3-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-2-1 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 5-4-1)
- O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-1 (Home: 13-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.5 (23rd in nation) | 43.4 (133rd) | 34.7 (59th) | 30.7 (162nd) | 17.6 (24th) | 11.0 (175th) |
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