Louisville vs. Virginia betting: College basketball preview for January 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Louisville Cardinals (9-5, 2-1 ACC) are 5.5-point favorites as they try to extend a three-game winning streak when they visit the Virginia Cavaliers (8-5, 1-1 ACC) on Saturday, January 4, 2025 at John Paul Jones Arena. The game airs at 4:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup’s over/under is set at 130.

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Spread

Louisville Cover -5.5 vs Virginia -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Louisville vs. Virginia betting lines

  • Louisville moneyline odds to win: -226
  • Virginia moneyline odds to win: +186
  • Spread: Louisville (-5.5)
  • Total: 130

Louisville statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In home games last season, Louisville had a worse record against the spread (5-11-2) compared to its ATS record in road games (5-6-0).
  • The Cardinals eclipsed the total in a higher percentage of games at home (55.6%) than road games (45.5%) last season.

Last season stats

  • Offensively, the Cardinals were the 227th-ranked squad in college basketball (72.0 points per game) last season. Defensively, they were 23rd-worst (79.1 points conceded per game).
  • Last year, Louisville was 148th in college basketball in rebounds (32.4 per game) and 250th in rebounds conceded (32.7).
  • The Cardinals were 325th in the nation in assists (11.1 per game) last season.

Louisville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 4-10-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 2-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 6-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.0 (276th in nation) 44.7 (269th) 36.2 (46th) 30.1 (127th) 13.4 (230th) 11.4 (168th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Louisville vs. Virginia? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Virginia statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2023-24 against the spread, Virginia had a better winning percentage at home (.588, 10-6-1 record) than away (.455, 5-6-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Cavaliers games went over less often at home (six of 17, 35.3%) than away (six of 11, 54.5%) last season.
  • The Cavaliers, when moneyline underdogs, won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (1-5) last season.

Last season stats

  • Although the Cavaliers averaged just 62.9 points per game last season (third-worst in college basketball), they performed really well on defense, as they ranked third-best in college basketball by ceding 59.8 points per game.
  • Virginia pulled down 29.4 rebounds per game (329th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 32.1 rebounds per contest (209th-ranked).
  • Last season the Cavaliers ranked 65th in college basketball in assists, averaging 15.0 per game.

Virginia betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 5-8-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 0-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-7-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 1-1; Away: 0-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.4 (214th in nation) 39.7 (40th) 28.8 (340th) 30.2 (133rd) 14.6 (148th) 10.5 (83rd)
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