The Washington Commanders, led by Marcus Mariota, will face the Minnesota Vikings at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday for a Week 14 NFL contest. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Mariota’s contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Marcus Mariota to go over 215.5 yards
Marcus Mariota Prop Lines
- Matchup: Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 215.5 (-113)
Marcus Mariota Stats and Trends
- Mariota has thrown for 1,359 yards (194.1 per game), completing 63.2% of his throws, with nine TDs and six INTs.
- Compared to his 215.5-yard over/under for this contest, Mariota is throwing for fewer yards per game — 194.1 — this season.
- In seven matchups this season, Mariota has thrown for more than 215.5 yards one time.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 199.7 passing yards, while his actual passing average is under that by 5.6 yards.
- This season, Mariota has finished above his passing yards total five times (83.3%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in six of seven games (including multiple TDs three times).
- Mariota has also rushed 37 times for 248 yards and one TD.
Recent Performances vs. the Vikings
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bears | 198 | 1 |
| 2 | Falcons | 108 | 0 |
| 3 | Bengals | 118 | 1 |
| 4 | Steelers | 182 | 1 |
| 5 | Browns | 182 | 2 |
| 7 | Eagles | 316 | 3 |
| 8 | Chargers | 212 | 3 |
| 9 | Lions | 240 | 2 |
| 10 | Ravens | 169 | 1 |
| 11 | Bears | 180 | 0 |
| 12 | Packers | 142 | 0 |
| 13 | Seahawks | 94 | 0 |
Commanders Away Splits
- The Commanders score 19.0 points per game away from home (2.8 fewer than overall) and concede 26.5 in road games (0.4 fewer than overall).
- The Commanders pick up fewer yards away from home (315.5 per game) than they do overall (337.6), but also give up fewer on the road (387.8 per game) than overall (388.3).
- The Commanders accumulate fewer passing yards in road games (194.0 per game) than they do overall (198.7), but they also concede fewer away from home (240.0 per game) than overall (254.9).
- Away from home, the Commanders pick up fewer rushing yards (121.5 per game) than overall (138.9). They also concede more rushing yards (147.8 per game) than overall (133.3).
- The Commanders convert 38.9% of third downs in away games (0.8% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 46.5% of third downs away from home (4.3% more than overall).
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