The Texas State Bobcats (11-11, 4-6 Sun Belt) are underdogs (by 4.5 points) to extend a three-game home win streak when they host the Marshall Thundering Herd (13-7, 5-3 Sun Belt) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The point total in the matchup is set at 148.5.
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Marshall Cover -4.5 vs Texas State -109
Marshall vs. Texas State betting lines
- Marshall moneyline odds to win: -187
- Texas State moneyline odds to win: +154
- Spread: Marshall (-4.5)
- Total: 148.5
Marshall statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Marshall owns a worse record against the spread when playing at home (3-8-0) than it does in road games (4-4-0).
- In terms of over/unders, the Thundering Herd hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 11 opportunities this season (63.6%). In road games, they have hit the over three times in eight opportunities (37.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Marshall has picked up the win in nine of 11 games when playing at home, good for a .818 winning percentage. It has won zero of one game on the road (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Thundering Herd’s offense has been improved over their last 10 games, scoring 82.7 points per contest compared to the 81.3 they’ve averaged this season.
- Marshall has been more stingy on defense as of late, allowing 71.9 points per game during its last 10 contests compared to the 74.8 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2025-26 season.
- The Thundering Herd are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 11.0 threes per game and shooting 38.1% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.6 makes and 37.2% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Marshall betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-12-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 2-9-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-8-1 (Home: 7-3-1; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 9-2; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (124th in nation) | 41.2 (55th) | 35.7 (47th) | 31.2 (190th) | 17.5 (31st) | 12.2 (268th) |
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Texas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Texas State has a better winning percentage at home (.667, 6-3-0 record) than away (.333, 3-6-0).
- Bobcats games have gone above the over/under less often at home (four times out of nine) than on the road (seven of nine) this season.
- The Bobcats, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-1) as on the road (0-8) this year.
Recent trends
- The Bobcats have fared worse offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 71.3 points per contest, 1.8 fewer points their than season average of 73.1.
- Texas State is allowing 77.1 points per contest over its past 10 games, which is 5.6 more points than it is allowing for the season (71.5).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bobcats are draining 4.3 threes per game, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (4.6). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (27.9%) compared to their season average (31.5%).
Texas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-11-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 12-8-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-10 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (155th in nation) | 44.4 (214th) | 32.6 (181st) | 27.8 (29th) | 12.7 (275th) | 12.7 (309th) |
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