Maryland vs. Michigan State betting: College basketball preview for February 26

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

A pair of hot teams meet when the No. 16 Maryland Terrapins (21-6, 11-5 Big Ten) host the No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (22-5, 13-3 Big Ten) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at 6:30 PM ET. The Terrapins are 4.5-point favorites and put their four-game win streak on the line against the Spartans, winners of three straight. The over/under for the matchup is set at 150.5.

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Maryland Cover -4.5 vs Michigan State -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Maryland vs. Michigan State betting lines

  • Maryland moneyline odds to win: -188
  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: +156
  • Spread: Maryland (-4.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Maryland statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Maryland has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (11-6-0) than it has in road tilts (3-5-0).
  • The Terrapins have exceeded the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 11 of 17 home matchups (64.7%). In away games, they have hit the over in six of eight games (75%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Maryland has taken 14 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .933 winning percentage. It has won one of three games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Terrapins have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 82.1 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.6 points fewer than the 83.7 they’ve scored this season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Maryland give up six more points per game (73.3) than its season-long average (67.3).
  • While the Terrapins are making the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings in comparison to their season-long average (8.3), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (40.3% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 37.6% on the season).

Maryland betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 12-7-0 (As Favorite: 12-10-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-9-0 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.8 (17th in nation) 42 (82nd) 34.7 (54th) 29.1 (64th) 15.1 (82nd) 10.1 (70th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Maryland vs. Michigan State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Michigan State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .571 (8-6-0). Away, it is .714 (5-2-0).
  • Spartans games have gone above the over/under 28.6% of the time both at home (four of 14) and on the road (two of seven) this year.

Recent trends

  • In their previous 10 games, the Spartans are putting up 74.1 points per contest, 4.9 fewer points than their season average (79).
  • Michigan State is allowing 67.4 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 0.2 more points than it is allowing for the season (67.2).
  • The Spartans are sinking 5.6 three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games, the same number as their average for the season. Meanwhile, they sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.3%) compared to their season average from three-point land (29.6%).

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-10-0 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 13-8-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-18-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 13-1; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47 (60th in nation) 40.4 (28th) 36.5 (15th) 27.4 (18th) 17.4 (ninth) 11.1 (170th)
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