Maryland vs. Penn State betting: College basketball preview for March 1

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 16 Maryland Terrapins (21-7, 11-6 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (15-14, 5-13 Big Ten) in a matchup of Big Ten teams at Bryce Jordan Center, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The Terrapins are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points.

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Maryland Cover -4.5 vs Penn State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Maryland vs. Penn State betting lines

  • Maryland moneyline odds to win: -211
  • Penn State moneyline odds to win: +173
  • Spread: Maryland (-4.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Maryland statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Maryland has performed better at home, covering 11 times in 18 home games, and three times in eight road games.
  • When it comes to point totals, the Terrapins hit the over less often in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total 11 times in 18 opportunities this season (61.1%). On the road, they have hit the over six times in eight opportunities (75%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Maryland has won 14 of 16 games at home, good for a .875 winning percentage. It has won one of three games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Terrapins have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 80.2 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 82.6 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • Maryland’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 71.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Terrapins are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (8.1), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.3% compared to 37% season-long).

Maryland betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 12-8-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-10-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-4 (Home: 14-2; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.3 (32nd in nation) 41.6 (63rd) 34.5 (57th) 29.6 (89th) 14.7 (100th) 10.1 (72nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Maryland vs. Penn State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Penn State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Penn State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-9-0). On the road, it is .556 (5-4-0).
  • Nittany Lions games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (eight of 16), and 33.3% of the time away (three of nine).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (1-8).

Recent trends

  • The Nittany Lions are scoring 70.2 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 9.2 fewer points than their average for the season (79.4).
  • While Penn State is surrendering 73.3 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 76.4 points per contest.
  • The Nittany Lions are sinking 6.6 threes per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.1). In addition, they own a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (31.4%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.6%).

Penn State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.9 (39th in nation) 45.7 (288th) 30.3 (288th) 30.2 (118th) 16 (46th) 11.9 (250th)
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