The No. 20 Maryland Terrapins (20-6, 10-5 Big Ten) are heavy favorites (-11.5) as they try to continue a 14-game home winning streak when they take on the USC Trojans (14-11, 6-8 Big Ten) on Thursday, February 20, 2025 at XFINITY Center. The contest airs at 8:30 PM ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup’s point total is set at 154.5.
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Maryland Cover -11.5 vs USC -105
Maryland vs. USC betting lines
- Maryland moneyline odds to win: -690
- USC moneyline odds to win: +490
- Spread: Maryland (-11.5)
- Total: 154.5
Maryland statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Maryland sports a better record against the spread in home games (10-6-0) than it does in road games (3-5-0).
- The Terrapins have eclipsed the over/under in 10 of 16 home games (62.5%). They’ve done better in road games, going over the total in six of eight matchups (75%).
- Maryland has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 13-1 (.929). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 1-2 (.333).
Recent trends
- The Terrapins’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 81.0 points a contest compared to the 83.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- Maryland has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 73.3 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 67.2 points per game its opponents average on the 2024-25 season.
- While the Terrapins are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (8.1 per game) compared to their season-long average (8.3), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (39.5% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 37.5% on the season).
Maryland betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-10-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 17-9-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 13-1; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (19th in nation) | 41.8 (74th) | 34.5 (61st) | 29.3 (74th) | 15.2 (81st) | 10.2 (73rd) |
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USC statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, USC is 7-10-0 at home against the spread (.412 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
- In terms of the over/under, Trojans games have gone over 11 of 17 times at home (64.7%), and five of six away (83.3%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Trojans have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (3-3).
Recent trends
- The Trojans have performed better offensively over their previous 10 games, posting 77.9 points per contest, 1.3 more than their season average of 76.6.
- Over its previous 10 games, USC is giving up 76.7 points per contest, 3.8 more points than its season average (72.9).
- The Trojans are making 7.9 threes per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 1.0 more than their average for the season (6.9). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (40.9%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (36.3%).
USC betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-14-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
- O-U-P: 17-7-1 (Home: 11-6-0; Away: 5-0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 10-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-8 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (31st in nation) | 44.8 (242nd) | 28.8 (332nd) | 29.3 (74th) | 15.6 (63rd) | 11.2 (171st) |

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