Week 12 of the NFL season features Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s break down Stafford’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this contest to help you come up with good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Matthew Stafford to go over 257.5 yards
Matthew Stafford Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: November 23, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 257.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (+124)
Matthew Stafford Stats and Trends
- Stafford has 2,557 yards passing (255.7 per game) with 27 TDs and two INTs this year.
- Stafford’s passing yardage average this year — 255.7 yards per game — is 1.8 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In 10 games this year, Stafford has topped 257.5 passing yards on five occasions.
- He has passed for over his season prop average of 248.7 yards (by 7.0 yards per game).
- So far this year, Stafford has exceeded his passing yards prop total in six of 10 opportunities.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 10 games this year, with more than one TD pass eight times.
- Also, Stafford has picked up -9 rushing yards (-0.9 per game) on 24 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Buccaneers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 289 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 182 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 168 | 2 |
| 4 | Eagles | 112 | 2 |
| 5 | Seahawks | 341 | 4 |
| 6 | 49ers | 296 | 0 |
| 7 | Lions | 215 | 1 |
| 8 | Saints | 227 | 0 |
| 10 | Patriots | 269 | 2 |
| 11 | Bills | 317 | 3 |
Rams Home Splits
- In home games, the Rams put up 23.8 points per game and give up 16.8. That’s less than they score (27.2) and allow (17.2) overall.
- At home, the Rams accumulate 380.2 yards per game and concede 328.6. That’s more than they gain (360.9) and allow (323) overall.
- The Rams’ average passing yards gained (271.8) and allowed (235.6) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 246.9 and 222.3, respectively.
- At home, the Rams rack up 108.4 rushing yards per game and concede 93. That’s less than they gain (114) and allow (100.7) overall.
- The Rams’ offensive third-down percentage at home (40%) is higher than their overall average (38.7%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (34.4%) is lower than overall (34.6%).
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