The Samford Bulldogs (16-12, 9-6 SoCon) are 4.5-point underdogs as they attempt to build on a three-game road win streak when they square off against the Mercer Bears (17-11, 9-6 SoCon) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Hawkins Arena. The matchup airs at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 155.5.

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Mercer vs. Samford betting lines

• Mercer moneyline odds to win: -190
• Samford moneyline odds to win: +153
• Spread: Mercer (-4.5)
• Total: 155.5

Mercer statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Mercer has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered eight times in 10 opportunities at home, and it has covered 10 times in 15 opportunities in road games.
• In terms of over/unders, the Bears hit the over more often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 10 opportunities this season (70%). On the road, they have hit the over five times in 15 opportunities (33.3%).
• Mercer has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-1 (.900). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 3-3 (.500).

Recent trends

• The Bears’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, scoring 81.0 points a contest compared to the 83.1 they’ve averaged this season.
• The last 10 games have seen Mercer concede 1.6 more points per game (76.6) than its season-long average (75.0).
• While the Bears are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (8.5 per game) compared to their season-long average (9.0), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (35.1% from deep over the last 10, 34.4% on the season).

Mercer betting records this season

• ATS Record: 18-7-0 (Home: 8-2-0; Away: 10-5-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 9-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-5-0; As Underdog: 7-2-0)
• O-U-P: 12-13-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 5-10-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 9-1; Away: 3-3)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-7)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mercer vs. Samford? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Samford statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• In 2025-26 against the spread, Samford has a better winning percentage at home (.600, 6-4-0 record) than on the road (.500, 7-7-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, four of 10) than away (78.6%, 11 of 14).
• The Bulldogs’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and on the road it is .222 (2-7).

Recent trends

• The Bulldogs have played better offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 79.3 points per contest, 1.0 more than their season average of 78.3.
• While Samford is giving up 74.8 points per game in 2025-26, it has improved that mark over its past 10 games, allowing 72.0 points per contest.
• The Bulldogs are draining 9.5 treys per game in their past 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (9.3). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (37.8%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (34.6%).

Samford betting records this season

• ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 7-7-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 6-7-0)
• O-U-P: 15-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 11-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-2 (Home: 6-1; Away: 4-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-7)