Mercer vs. UNC Greensboro betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Mercer Bears (13-8, 5-3 SoCon) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to build on a nine-game home winning streak when they host the UNC Greensboro Spartans (8-13, 4-4 SoCon) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The over/under is set at 159.5 in the matchup.

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Mercer Cover -10.5 vs UNC Greensboro -115

Bet $20, Payout $37.39

Mercer vs. UNC Greensboro betting lines

  • Mercer moneyline odds to win: -694
  • UNC Greensboro moneyline odds to win: +494
  • Spread: Mercer (-10.5)
  • Total: 159.5

Mercer statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Mercer has done a better job covering the spread at home (6-0-0) than it has in road tilts (9-3-0).
  • The Bears have hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (66.7%) than road tilts (41.7%).
  • Mercer has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 6-0 (1.000). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-1 (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Bears’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, racking up 89.7 points per contest compared to the 85.0 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Mercer has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 75.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 75.3 it has surrendered this year.
  • The Bears’ last 10 contests have seen them make 9.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.1% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 9.1 makes and 34.1%.

Mercer betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-3-0 (Home: 6-0-0; Away: 9-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-1-0; As Underdog: 7-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-9-0 (Home: 4-2-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.6 (112th in nation) 42.5 (103rd) 34.9 (71st) 33.3 (304th) 14.9 (128th) 10.8 (133rd)

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UNC Greensboro statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UNC Greensboro’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .250 (2-6-0). On the road, it is .286 (2-5-0).
  • Spartans games have gone above the over/under 62.5% of the time at home (five of eight), and 85.7% of the time on the road (six of seven).
  • In 2025-26 when moneyline underdogs, the Spartans have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 2-2 record) than on the road (.167, 1-5).

Recent trends

  • While the Spartans are posting 78.2 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark in their last 10 games, producing 81.9 a contest.
  • Over its last 10 games, UNC Greensboro is giving up 79.6 points per contest, compared to its season average of 81.0 points allowed.
  • The Spartans are sinking 8.4 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (8.0). Likewise, they own a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (37.8%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (35.7%).

UNC Greensboro betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-13-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 0-4-0 (As Favorite: 1-5-0; As Underdog: 5-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-6-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 6-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-4 (Home: 1-3; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 1-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (165th in nation) 46.1 (294th) 32.6 (180th) 33.0 (288th) 12.7 (280th) 10.1 (72nd)
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