Mercyhurst vs. Fairleigh Dickinson betting: NEC Tournament preview for March 4

Data Skrive

The No. 3 seed Mercyhurst Lakers (15-16, 10-8 NEC) are 4.5-point favorites in the NEC Tournament against the No. 6 seed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (11-20, 8-10 NEC) on Wednesday at Mercyhurst Athletic Center. The game tips off at 7 p.m. ET and airs on NEC Front Row, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total for the matchup is 132.5.

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Mercyhurst Cover -4.5 vs Fairleigh Dickinson -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Mercyhurst vs. Fairleigh Dickinson betting lines

  • Mercyhurst moneyline odds to win: -211
  • Fairleigh Dickinson moneyline odds to win: +167
  • Spread: Mercyhurst (-4.5)
  • Total: 132.5

Mercyhurst statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Mercyhurst has done a better job covering the spread on the road (12-6-0) than it has at home (7-4-0).
  • The Lakers have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of home games (63.6%) than games on the road (44.4%).
  • Mercyhurst has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-3 (.700). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 3-2 (.600).

Recent trends

  • The Lakers have seen an uptick in scoring recently, putting up 76.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 7.2 points more than the 69.7 they’ve scored this season.
  • Mercyhurst has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 72.8 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 67.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Lakers are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.3 compared to 6.0 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (31.5% compared to 32.4% season-long).

Mercyhurst betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 12-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 10-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 8-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (177th in nation) 44.1 (166th) 29.3 (311th) 31.6 (218th) 13.7 (192nd) 8.7 (eighth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Mercyhurst vs. Fairleigh Dickinson? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Fairleigh Dickinson statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Fairleigh Dickinson has been better at home (5-6-0) than away (5-12-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Knights games have gone over more frequently at home (four of 11, 36.4%) than on the road (five of 17, 29.4%).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Knights have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than away (2-10).

Recent trends

  • While the Knights are putting up 67.4 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, amassing 63.7 points per contest.
  • Fairleigh Dickinson is surrendering 65.8 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 4.4 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (70.2).
  • The Knights are sinking 6.6 treys per game over their past 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.0). That said, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.6%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.2%).

Fairleigh Dickinson betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-18-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 5-12-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 4-7-0; As Underdog: 6-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-19-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 5-12-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-4 (Home: 5-2; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-14 (Home: 0-4; Away: 2-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.3 (340th in nation) 45.9 (273rd) 31.9 (188th) 28.4 (36th) 12.0 (312th) 10.9 (184th)
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