The Merrimack Warriors (16-9, 12-2 MAAC) are favored (-2.5) to build on a four-game winning streak when they host the Marist Red Foxes (16-8, 10-5 MAAC) at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at Lawler Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 129.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Merrimack Cover -2.5 vs Marist -110
Merrimack vs. Marist betting lines
- Merrimack moneyline odds to win: -145
- Marist moneyline odds to win: +119
- Spread: Merrimack (-2.5)
- Total: 129.5
Merrimack statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, Merrimack owns a better record against the spread (7-1-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (8-6-0).
- The Warriors have eclipsed the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in three of eight home matchups (37.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in five of 14 games (35.7%).
- Merrimack has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 7-0 (1.000). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-1 (.667).
Recent trends
- The Warriors have seen an uptick in scoring lately, putting up 71.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.8 points more than the 68.4 they’ve scored this season.
- Merrimack’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 62.2 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 67.8 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- While the Warriors are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.4 per game) compared to their season-long average (7.8), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.9% from deep over the last 10, 32.2% on the season).
Merrimack betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-9-0 (Home: 7-1-0; Away: 8-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 7-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-2-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
- O-U-P: 8-16-1 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 5-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-8 (Home: 1-0; Away: 5-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.9 (324th in nation) | 42.3 (82nd) | 25.0 (364th) | 35.0 (340th) | 12.2 (304th) | 9.5 (39th) |
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Marist statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Marist has performed better against the spread at home (7-4-0) than away (5-7-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Red Foxes games have gone over more frequently at home (four of 11, 36.4%) than away (four of 12, 33.3%).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Red Foxes are putting up 69.2 points per contest, compared to their season average of 70.9.
- While Marist is surrendering 62.6 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 63.6 points per contest.
- The Red Foxes are draining 0.6 fewer three-pointers per game in their past 10 games (6.1) compared to their season average (6.7), but they are producing a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (35.1%) compared to their season mark (32.9%).
Marist betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 10-8-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 8-15-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 5-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (163rd in nation) | 39.2 (11th) | 32.8 (149th) | 30.9 (172nd) | 15.5 (90th) | 10.6 (126th) |
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