Merrimack vs. Siena betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 20

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Merrimack Warriors (18-9, 14-2 MAAC) are favored (-3.5) to continue a six-game win streak when they host the Siena Saints (18-9, 11-5 MAAC) at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, February 20, 2026 at Lawler Arena. The game airs on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under set at 132.5 points.

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Merrimack Cover -3.5 vs Siena -115

Bet $20, Payout $37.39

Merrimack vs. Siena betting lines

  • Merrimack moneyline odds to win: -194
  • Siena moneyline odds to win: +156
  • Spread: Merrimack (-3.5)
  • Total: 132.5

Merrimack statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Merrimack has done a better job covering the spread at home (8-1-0) than it has in road affairs (9-6-0).
  • The Warriors have exceeded the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in four of nine home matchups (44.4%). In away games, they have hit the over in five of 15 games (33.3%).
  • Merrimack has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 8-0 (1.000). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-1 (.667).

Recent trends

  • The Warriors have seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 71.3 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.9 points more than the 68.4 they’ve scored this season.
  • Merrimack has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 60.2 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 66.7 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
  • While the Warriors are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (7.0 per game) compared to their season-long average (7.7), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.1% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 32.3% on the season).

Merrimack betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-9-0 (Home: 8-1-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 9-2-0; As Underdog: 9-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-17-1 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 5-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-8 (Home: 1-0; Away: 6-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.1 (323rd in nation) 41.5 (52nd) 25.2 (364th) 35.4 (350th) 12.1 (306th) 9.4 (37th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Merrimack vs. Siena? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Siena statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Siena’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .455 (5-6-0). On the road, it is .643 (9-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Saints games have finished over less often at home (four of 11, 36.4%) than away (six of 14, 42.9%).

Recent trends

  • While the Saints are averaging 71.0 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark in their last 10 games, amassing 74.1 a contest.
  • Over its previous 10 games, Siena is ceding 69.3 points per game, 3.2 more points than its season average (66.1).
  • The Saints are sinking 5.9 three-pointers per contest with a 33.1% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 5.4 and 30.4%.

Siena betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 9-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 2-0-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-17-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-6 (Home: 7-4; Away: 8-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.6 (102nd in nation) 43.2 (120th) 30.7 (260th) 28.0 (31st) 13.4 (217th) 9.8 (55th)
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