The Fiesta Bowl will see the Miami Hurricanes (12-2) square off against the Ole Miss Rebels (13-1) on Thursday, January 8, 2026 for a spot in the College Football Playoff National Championship.
The Hurricanes are favored, but by less than a touchdown (-3), against the Rebels. The over/under for this matchup is 53 points.
Keep reading for our betting preview for this this contest between the Hurricanes and the Rebels, and discover all of our expert picks here, too!
To Cover the Spread
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Miami (FL) -3 vs. Ole Miss
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- Spread favorite: Hurricanes (-3)
- Moneyline: Hurricanes (-167), Rebels (+140)
- Total: 53 points
- TV Channel: SEC Network
- Live Stream: Fubo
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss betting info and stats
- Miami (FL) is 9-5-0 against the spread through 14 opportunities this season. Miami (FL) has covered the spread six times when it has played as the favorite by at least 3 points (a 6-5 ATS record). Miami (FL) has been favored on the moneyline for 11 games this season, and it has put up a 9-2 record in those matchups. Ole Miss, in 14 games with a set spread this season, has gone 9-5-0 against the spread. When Ole Miss is an underdog of 3 or more points, it is 2-1 ATS. Ole Miss has a 2-1 record this year in games it hs played as an underdog on the moneyline.
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss recent stats and trends
Miami Hurricanes
- Miami (FL) has covered the spread in its last three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
- In all three of those games, the final combined score fell short of the set total.
- The last three Miami (FL) games averaged 45.8 total points, 7.2 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
Ole Miss Rebels
- Ole Miss is a perfect 3-0 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
- Ole Miss and its opponents have hit the over in one of those games.
- The past three Ole Miss games averaged 4.8 more points (57.8) than this matchup’s point total.
Miami (FL) vs. Ole Miss key players
Miami Hurricanes
- Carson Beck has thrown for 3,313 yards (236.6 ypg) to lead Miami (FL), completing 74.2% of his passes and collecting 27 touchdown passes compared to 10 interceptions this season.
- The team’s top rusher, Mark Fletcher, has carried the ball 177 times for 947 yards (78.9 per game), scoring 10 times.
- CharMar Brown has carried the ball 105 times for 401 yards (30.8 per game) and six touchdowns.
- Malachi Toney has hauled in 94 receptions for 1,008 yards (72.0 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. He’s found the end zone eight times as a receiver.
- Keelan Marion has put up a 626-yard season so far with one touchdown, hauling in 49 passes on 68 targets.
- CJ Daniels has compiled 42 grabs for 469 yards, an average of 46.9 yards per game. He’s scored seven times as a receiver this season.
- Akheem Mesidor has racked up 10.5 sacks to lead the team, while also picking up 9.0 TFL and 50 tackles.
- Jakobe Thomas, Miami (FL)’s leading tackler, has 59 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and five interceptions this year.
- Bryce Fitzgerald leads the team with six interceptions, while also putting up 10 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and six passes defended.
Ole Miss Rebels
- Trinidad Chambliss has thrown for 3,660 yards (281.5 ypg) to lead Ole Miss, completing 66.4% of his passes and collecting 21 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He is also a playmaker on the ground, racking up 520 yards (37.1 ypg) on 128 carries with eight touchdowns.
- Kewan Lacy has rushed for 1,464 yards on 295 carries so far this year while scoring 23 times on the ground.
- Harrison Wallace III leads his team with 894 receiving yards on 57 catches with four touchdowns.
- De’Zhaun Stribling has put up a 734-yard season so far with six touchdowns. He’s caught 50 passes on 67 targets.
- Deuce Alexander’s 67 targets have resulted in 43 catches for 677 yards and two touchdowns.
- Princewill Umanmielen has 8.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 8.0 TFL, 41 tackles, and one interception.
- T.J. Dudley is the team’s leading tackler this year. He’s racked up 78 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks.
- Wydett Williams Jr. leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 58 tackles and three passes defended.
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