Heat vs. Hawks betting: NBA preview for March 27

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

Southeast Division foes square off when the Miami Heat (31-41) host the Atlanta Hawks (35-37) at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 27, 2025. The Hawks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game, the fourth matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under of 225.5.

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Spread

Heat Cover -1.5 vs Hawks -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Heat vs. Hawks betting lines

  • Heat odds to win: -126
  • Hawks odds to win: +106
  • Spread: Heat (-1.5)
  • Total: 225.5
  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Heat Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • Miami has covered the spread 19 times at home and is 17-19 in home contests.
  • This year, Miami has an 11-10-1 record ATS at home when playing as 1.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Heat have hit the over in 21 of their 36 home games this year with a set over/under (58.3%).
  • Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 218.4 points per home contest this year, 7.1 points fewer than this game’s posted total.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 2-8 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their last 10 contests.
  • The Heat’s last 10 outings saw four go over the total.
  • The Heat’s last 10 games have ended with an average of 214.8 points scored. That’s 10.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • The Heat’s per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 5.5 points lower than their season-long average.

Heat Betting Records

  • The Heat have won 22 of the 38 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (57.9%).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -126 or shorter, Miami has a record of 21-13 (61.8% win percentage).
  • The Heat have a 55.8% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (19th in NBA) 46.5 (12th) 42.9 (23rd) 44.9 (21st) 26.2 (15th) 12.9 (ninth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Heat vs. Hawks? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Hawks Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • The Hawks are 16-20 in road contests with a 19-17 record against the spread on the road.
  • This year, the Hawks are 2-6 ATS in road games as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
  • On the road this year, Hawks games have gone over the set point total 20 times.
  • Recent history hints at an edge to the Hawks to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 235 points per contest.

Hawks Recent Trends

  • The Hawks are 7-3 overall and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • The Hawks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
  • The past 10 Hawks games averaged 10.7 more points (236.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • In their past 10 games, the Hawks have a 121.5 points-per-game average, 3.9 points above their season-long scoring average.

Hawks Betting Records

  • Atlanta has won 19, or 42.2%, of the 45 games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • The Hawks are 17-24 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +106 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Hawks have a 48.5% chance to win.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (14th in NBA) 48.1 (28th) 44.6 (13th) 44 (15th) 29.4 (second) 14.8 (25th)
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Ryan Knuppel

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About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …