The Miami Heat (29-41) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to turn around a 10-game losing streak when they host the Charlotte Hornets (18-52) on Sunday, March 23, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs at 6 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSSE. The point total is set at 212.5 for the matchup.
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Heat Cover -4.5 vs Hornets -111
Heat vs. Hornets betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -191
- Hornets odds to win: +159
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)
- Total: 212.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami has a 17-16-1 record against the spread at home and is 15-19 in home contests.
- This season, Miami is 5-6-1 ATS at home as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- The Heat have hit the over in 20 of their 34 home games this season with a set over/under (58.8%).
- This season at home, Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 218.8 points per contest, 6.3 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 0-10 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in three of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 216.4 total points, 3.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 7.6 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat are 21-16 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 56.8% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -191 or shorter, Miami has gone 12-8 (60% win percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 65.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (20th in NBA) | 46.6 (12th) | 43 (23rd) | 45.1 (22nd) | 26.2 (16th) | 12.9 (eighth) |
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Hornets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Hornets are 7-27 in road contests with a 16-17-1 record against the spread on the road.
- This year, the Hornets have a 0-2 record ATS in road games when playing as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Hornets have hit the over on a set point total in a road game 16 times this season.
- Recent history hints at an edge to the Hornets to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 224.1 points per contest.
Hornets Recent Trends
- The Hornets are 4-6 overall and 5-5 against the spread in their past 10 games.
- The final scores of the past 10 Hornets games have surpassed the set total four times.
- The Hornets’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 226.4 points scored. That’s 13.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over the last 10 games, the Hornets are scoring 110.3 points per game compared to their 105.8 season average.
Hornets Betting Records
- This season, Charlotte has won 16 out of the 62 games, or 25.8%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Hornets have a record of 10-39, a 20.4% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +159 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 38.6% chance of a victory for the Hornets.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.9 (30th in NBA) | 46.7 (15th) | 45.3 (sixth) | 45.1 (22nd) | 24.4 (26th) | 14.7 (24th) |
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