The Dallas Mavericks (7-15) are 4.5-point underdogs against the Miami Heat (14-7) at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, December 3, 2025. The game tips at 8:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV. The over/under for the matchup is 238.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Heat Cover -4.5 vs Mavericks -111
Heat vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -189
- Mavericks odds to win: +157
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)
- Total: 238.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Miami is 4-5 in road contests with a 5-3-1 record against the spread on the road.
- Heat road games have gone over the set point total six times this year.
- Recent performance seems to go against Miami to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 234.3 points per contest this season.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread five times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 7-3 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Heat games has surpassed the set total five times.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 240.4 total points, 1.9 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Heat have scored 1.3 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have won 77.8% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (7-2).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -189 or shorter, Miami has gone 6-1 (85.7% win percentage).
- The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.4% in this matchup.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (10th in NBA) | 43.9 (second) | 46.2 (fourth) | 49 (29th) | 30.3 (second) | 14 (11th) |
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Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- At home this season, Mavericks games have hit the over on the set point total five times.
- The Mavericks have a 5-8 record against the spread at home and is 4-9 in home contests.
- This season, the Mavericks are 0-3 ATS at home as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- This season at home the Mavericks and their opponents have averaged a total of 228.9 points per contest, 9.6 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks are 4-6 overall and 6-4 against the spread over their past 10 contests.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Mavericks games averaged 6.7 fewer points (231.8) than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Mavericks’ per-game scoring average across their last 10 games is 115.2, 4.1 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- This season, Dallas has won four out of the 15 games, or 26.7%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Mavericks have entered nine games this season as the underdog by +157 or more and is 2-7 in those contests.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 38.9% chance of a victory for the Mavericks.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (26th in NBA) | 45.9 (sixth) | 44.7 (13th) | 48.6 (28th) | 24.5 (26th) | 15.4 (24th) |
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