The Miami Heat (13-6) will look to continue a six-game winning streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (15-4) on Saturday, November 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center as 4-point favorites. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDETX. The over/under is set at 240.5 for the matchup.
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Heat Cover -4 vs Pistons -108
Heat vs. Pistons betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -172
- Pistons odds to win: +144
- Spread: Heat (-4)
- Total: 240.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit Extra
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami has a 7-3 record against the spread at home and is 9-1 in home contests.
- This year, Miami is 3-3 ATS at home when playing as 4-point favorites or more.
- The Heat have hit the over on a set point total in a home game four times this season.
- This season at home Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 239.1 points per contest, 1.4 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 8-2 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have hit the over in five of those 10 games.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 241.6 total points, 1.1 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- During their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 0.2 points above their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have a 6-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 85.7% of those games).
- Miami has gone 5-1 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -172 or shorter (winning 83.3%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 63.2%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (10th in NBA) | 43.1 (second) | 46.4 (fourth) | 49.5 (29th) | 30.3 (second) | 14 (12th) |
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Pistons Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Pistons are 7-2 in road contests and have covered the spread five times on the road.
- The Pistons have gone 3-2 ATS on the road this year as 4-point underdogs or more.
- The Pistons have gone over a set point total in a road game four times this season.
- Recent performance seems to trend against the Pistons to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 231.3 points per contest this season.
Pistons Recent Trends
- The Pistons have a 8-2 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- Pistons’ past 10 games saw six go over the total.
- The Pistons’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 231.6 points scored. That’s 8.9 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- In the last 10 games, the Pistons are scoring 120.7 points per game compared to their 118.8 season average.
Pistons Betting Records
- Detroit has entered the game as underdogs four times this season and won three of those games.
- The Pistons have played as an underdog of +144 or more once this season and won that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pistons have a 41.0% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (eighth in NBA) | 44.3 (fourth) | 46.6 (third) | 42.2 (ninth) | 26.3 (13th) | 14.7 (19th) |
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