The Indiana Pacers (6-25) are underdogs (by 6.5 points) to end a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-15) on Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 230.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Heat Cover -6.5 vs Pacers -111
Heat vs. Pacers betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -272
- Pacers odds to win: +221
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)
- Total: 230.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Indiana
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami is 10-5 in home contests with an 8-7 record against the spread at home.
- Miami has a 3-3 record ATS in home games this year when playing as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- Heat games have gone over the set point total six times at home this season.
- Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 238.1 points per home contest this season, 7.6 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread four times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 2-8 record straight-up in those games.
- Twice in those 10 games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
- The Heat’s past 10 games have ended with an average of 236.6 points scored. That’s 6.1 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 10.3 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have won eight of the 14 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (57.1%).
- Miami has gone 4-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -272 or shorter (winning 80%).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 73.1%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (15th in NBA) | 45.2 (fourth) | 45.6 (sixth) | 47.8 (29th) | 28.4 (seventh) | 13.6 (ninth) |
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Pacers Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Pacers are 1-13 in road contests and have covered the spread six times on the road.
- The Pacers have gone over a set point total in a road game three times this year.
- The Pacers and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.0 points per road contest this season, 1.5 points greater than this game’s posted total.
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers are 2-8 overall and 4-6 against the spread in their past 10 games.
- The final scores of the past 10 Pacers games have gone over the set total four times.
- The Pacers’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 228.9 points scored. That’s 1.6 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Pacers are scoring 108.3 points per game compared to their 109.6 season average.
Pacers Betting Records
- Indiana has won four, or 15.4%, of the 26 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Pacers are 1-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +221 or more on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pacers have a 31.2% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.1 (30th in NBA) | 47.9 (24th) | 43.5 (21st) | 47.6 (27th) | 23.5 (30th) | 13.1 (fourth) |
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