The Miami Heat (31-27) are 6.5-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game road winning streak when they square off against the Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 at Fiserv Forum. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSWI. The matchup has an over/under of 228.5 points.
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Heat Cover -6.5 vs Bucks -108
Heat vs. Bucks betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -226
- Bucks odds to win: +186
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)
- Total: 228.5
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Miami is 14-16 in road contests and has covered the spread 19 times on the road.
- This year, Miami is 3-1 ATS in road games when playing as 6.5-point favorites or more.
- Heat road games have hit the over on the set point total 14 times this season.
- This season on the road Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 236.0 points per contest, 7.5 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 6-4 overall and 7-3 against the spread over their past 10 contests.
- The final score of the past 10 Heat games has gone over the set total four times.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 235.7 total points, 7.2 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- Over the past 10 games, the Heat are scoring 0.9 points more per game compared to their season average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have won 18 of the 29 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (62.1%).
- Miami has gone 11-3 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -226 or shorter (winning 78.6%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 69.3%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (19th in NBA) | 45.7 (sixth) | 47.2 (second) | 47.2 (29th) | 28.7 (seventh) | 13.6 (11th) |
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Bucks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Bucks games have gone over the set point total 12 times at home this year.
- The Bucks have an 11-14 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 12-13 overall in those contests.
- This season, the Bucks have a 3-3 record ATS at home as 6.5-point underdogs or more.
- Recent performance seems to go against the Bucks to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 226.9 points per contest this season.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- Bucks’ last 10 games saw four go over the total.
- The Bucks’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 220.9 points scored. That’s 7.6 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Bucks have a 111.3 points-per-game average, 0.7 points below their season-long scoring average.
Bucks Betting Records
- Milwaukee has been underdogs in 34 games this season and won 14 (41.2%) of those contests.
- The Bucks have a record of 3-13 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +186 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bucks have a 35.0% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (fifth in NBA) | 46.5 (11th) | 41.2 (27th) | 44.5 (17th) | 26.0 (17th) | 13.8 (12th) |
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