The New Orleans Pelicans (8-28) are 8.5-point underdogs as they try to turn around a six-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (19-16) on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs at 6 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG. The matchup has a point total of 243.5.
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Heat Cover -8.5 vs Pelicans -104
Heat vs. Pelicans betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -312
- Pelicans odds to win: +250
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)
- Total: 243.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami has covered the spread 10 times at home and is 12-6 in home contests.
- This year, Miami has a 1-2 record ATS in home games as 8.5-point favorites or more.
- Heat home games have gone over the set point total nine times this season.
- Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 238.1 points per home contest this year, 5.4 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread six times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Heat games has gone over the set total five times.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 235.9 total points, 7.6 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- Across their last 10 games, the Heat have scored 2.5 fewer points per contest compared to their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have put together a 9-6 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).
- Miami has gone 2-1 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -312 or shorter (winning 66.7%).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 75.7%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (13th in NBA) | 45.9 (fifth) | 45.6 (sixth) | 46.9 (27th) | 28.7 (seventh) | 13.7 (12th) |
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Pelicans Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Pelicans have a 7-7 record against the spread on the road and are 2-12 in road contests.
- Pelicans games have gone over the set point total seven times on the road this year.
- Recent performance seems to go against the Pelicans to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 233.2 points per contest this season.
Pelicans Recent Trends
- The Pelicans have covered the spread five times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Pelicans games averaged 242.6 total points, 0.9 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- During their last 10 games, the Pelicans have a 118.6 points-per-game average, 3.2 points above their season-long scoring average.
Pelicans Betting Records
- This season, New Orleans has been the underdog 34 times and won six, or 17.6%, of those games.
- The Pelicans are 2-18 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +250 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Pelicans based on the moneyline is 28.6%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (22nd in NBA) | 48.7 (25th) | 43.4 (21st) | 45.9 (24th) | 24.6 (26th) | 13.3 (fifth) |
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