Heat vs. Pelicans betting: NBA preview for April 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Orleans Pelicans (21-59) will try to end a five-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (36-44) on Friday, April 11, 2025 at Smoothie King Center as big, 15.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on Gulf Coast Sports and FDSSUN. The point total is set at 214 for the matchup.

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Spread

Heat Cover -15.5 vs Pelicans -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Heat vs. Pelicans betting lines

  • Heat odds to win: -1316
  • Pelicans odds to win: +780
  • Spread: Heat (-15.5)
  • Total: 214
  • TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Heat Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • Miami has covered the spread 16 times on the road and are 17-23 in road contests.
  • The Heat have hit the over in 18 of their 40 road games this year with a set over/under (45%).
  • Recent performance hints at an edge to Miami to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 219.3 points per contest.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat have a 7-3 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
  • The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
  • The past 10 Heat games averaged 3.1 more points (217.1) than this matchup’s point total.
  • The Heat’s per-game scoring average over their last 10 games is 6.9 points higher than their season-long average.

Heat Betting Records

  • The Heat have won 59.1% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (26-18).
  • Miami has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -1316 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 92.9% chance to win.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (18th in NBA) 46.6 (13th) 43.2 (22nd) 44.7 (19th) 26.3 (14th) 12.7 (sixth)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Heat vs. Pelicans? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Pelicans Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • The Pelicans have hit the over in 19 of their 39 home games this season with a set over/under (48.7%).
  • The Pelicans are 14-25 in home contests and have covered the spread 22 times at home.
  • This season at home, the Pelicans and their opponents have averaged a total of 226.6 points per contest, 12.6 points greater than the over/under for this contest.

Pelicans Recent Trends

  • The Pelicans have covered the spread six times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 2-8 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final scores of the last 10 Pelicans games have gone over the set total five times.
  • The past 10 Pelicans games averaged 7.2 more points (221.2) than this matchup’s point total.
  • In their past 10 games, the Pelicans have a 106.6 points-per-game average, 3.4 points below their season-long scoring average.

Pelicans Betting Records

  • This season, New Orleans has been the underdog 59 times and won nine, or 15.3%, of those games.
  • This season, the Pelicans have been at least a +780 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
  • The Pelicans have a 11.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.4 (24th in NBA) 48.3 (29th) 43.6 (19th) 45.5 (27th) 25.9 (19th) 14 (21st)
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Ryan Knuppel

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About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

When we, as sports fans, learned our multiplication tables, we aced the number 7. Seven, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42 were easy because we all watched football on the weekends. Multiplication by sevens, then add a three, a six after a missed PAT.

How to Bet on NFL Games

Baseball is America’s pastime, but football is America’s crazed passion, with its weekly schedule of games, millions of television viewers across the country and the world, and the billion-dollar stadiums that serve as Sunday cathedrals in 32 American cities.

What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …