Two struggling teams hit the court when the Miami Heat (14-11) host the Toronto Raptors (15-11) on Monday, December 15, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Heat are 4.5-point favorites as they look to stop a four-game losing streak against the Raptors, who have lost four straight. The matchup has a point total of 234.5.
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Heat Cover -4.5 vs Raptors -112
Heat vs. Raptors betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -195
- Raptors odds to win: +163
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)
- Total: 234.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami has covered the spread eight times at home and is 10-3 in home contests.
- Miami’s record against the spread is 4-4 when playing as 4.5-point favorites or more at home this year.
- At home this season, Heat games have hit the over on the set point total six times.
- This season at home, Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 239.2 points per contest, 4.7 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- The Heat’s past 10 games saw three hit the over.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 5.8 more points (240.3) than this matchup’s point total.
- Over their last 10 games, the Heat have a points-per-game average 2.8 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have been the moneyline favorite 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-4 in those games.
- Miami has gone 5-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -195 or shorter (winning 71.4%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 66.1%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (12th in NBA) | 44.6 (second) | 45.4 (eighth) | 48.6 (29th) | 29.4 (fourth) | 13.6 (eighth) |
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Raptors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Raptors have covered the spread seven times on the road and are 7-5 in road contests.
- The Raptors have a 2-1 record ATS on the road this season as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this season, Raptors games have hit the over on the set point total five times.
- Recent performance seems to trend against the Raptors to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 234.3 points per contest this season.
Raptors Recent Trends
- The Raptors are 1-9 against the spread over their last 10 games, and have a 4-6 straight-up record in those contests.
- The final scores of the last 10 Raptors games have gone over the set total three times.
- The past 10 Raptors games averaged 4.6 fewer points (229.9) than this matchup’s over/under.
- During the last 10 games, the Raptors are scoring 107.2 points per game compared to their 115.8 season average.
Raptors Betting Records
- Toronto has won four of the 10 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Raptors have a record of 2-4 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +163 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 38.0% chance of a victory for the Raptors.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (eighth in NBA) | 46.6 (13th) | 42.3 (23rd) | 43.3 (14th) | 29.4 (fourth) | 13.9 (10th) |
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