Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 28, 2026

Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins (52-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (57-49) in a matchup sportsbooks have set as a pick ’em, with both teams equal to win on the moneyline. The action starts on Tuesday at loanDepot park, starting at 6:40 p.m. ET. Sandy Alcantara starts for Miami while Philadelphia will counter with Aaron Nola.

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Money Line

Marlins to win vs Phillies -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Marlins vs. Phillies betting lines

  • Favorite: Marlins (-111)
  • Underdog: Phillies (-111)
  • Over/under: 8

Marlins betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Marlins betting info

  • The Marlins have a 32-19 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.7% of those games).
  • In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -111 or shorter, Miami has gone 31-19 (62%).
  • The Marlins have a 52.6% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • Miami has had an over/under set by bookmakers 106 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 54 of those games (54-50-2).
  • The Marlins have covered 49.1% of their games this season, going 52-54-0 ATS.

Marlins hitting info

  • Otto Lopez paces the Marlins with a .328 batting average.
  • Lopez’s home runs rank 149th in MLB and he ranks 81st in RBI in MLB.
  • Liam Hicks has shown his power as he paces his team with 14 home runs and 60 runs batted in.
  • Hicks ranks 77th in home runs among hitters in baseball and 33rd in RBI.
  • Xavier Edwards is hitting .289 with 14 doubles, six triples, six home runs and 52 walks.
  • Javier Sanoja has 20 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 14 walks while hitting .268.

Marlins pitching rankings

  • The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 14th in the majors.
  • Miami’s 4.10 team ERA ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • Marlins pitchers combine for the No. 9 WHIP in the majors (1.259).
  • Marlins pitchers combine to allow 108 home runs (one per game), the eighth-fewest in baseball.
  • Miami struck out eight Padres batters while allowing 13 hits in a 5-3 loss in its last game.

Phillies betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Phillies betting info

  • The Phillies have been underdogs in 29 games this season and won nine (31%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 9-21 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -111 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 44 of its 106 games with a total this season.
  • The Phillies have an ATS record of 41-65-0 in 106 games with a spread this season.

Phillies hitting info

  • Bryce Harper has been key for Philadelphia with 21 home runs, 61 RBI and a batting average of .251 this season.
  • Harper’s home run total ranks 23rd in the majors, and he is 26th in RBI.
  • Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs with 33 and runs batted in with 62.
  • Schwarber is second in homers and 23rd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Schwarber brings a four-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Trea Turner has 103 hits this season and a slash line of .244/.295/.391.
  • Turner has safely hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a triple, a walk and an RBI.
  • Bryson Stott has 89 hits and an OBP of .307 to go with a slugging percentage of .405 this season.

Phillies pitching rankings

  • The Phillies average 10 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, most in the majors.
  • Philadelphia has pitched to a 4.21 ERA this season, which ranks 17th in baseball.
  • The Phillies have a combined WHIP of 1.304 as a pitching staff, which ranks 14th in MLB.
  • The Phillies have allowed the 20th-fewest home runs this season with 129, or 1.2 per game.
  • Last time out, Philadelphia defeated the Yankees, 11-4, with 13 strikeouts and eight hits allowed.
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Ryan Knuppel

Knup Solutions [molongui_author_name]

About Ryan Knuppel

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Betting Guide

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Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

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If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …